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Avellino vs Turris

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Lescano F.
48' Event
Armiento C.
50'
Sabatino B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 game between Avellino and Turris finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avellino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Avellino
30%
Draws
37%
Turris
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Avellino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Avellino Clean Sheet 18%
Turris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Turris
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 14 2
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.13 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.83 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Turris
3:1
Sep 24, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Turris vs Avellino
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Turris vs Avellino
0:4
Dec 3, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Turris
0:0
Apr 8, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Turris
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Lescano F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tribuzzi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.18
Avg xA / game 1.42

Turris Compare

Top Goalscorer Armiento C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 32 / 100
Turris 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Turris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avellino's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Turris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Avellino has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Turris
5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 33%
88% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
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Turris

(Away)
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3
Martina Calcio
28 Feb
Giugliano
3 : 1
Turris
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 34 22 9 3 61:26 75
2 Audace Cerignola 34 19 10 5 50:32 67
3 Monopoli 34 15 12 7 36:25 57
4 Crotone 34 15 9 10 62:49 54
5 Catania 34 14 12 8 49:34 53
6 Benevento 34 13 13 8 51:34 52
7 Potenza 34 12 13 9 55:52 49
8 Picerno 34 10 18 6 39:27 48
9 Juventus U23 34 12 8 14 44:45 44
10 Giugliano 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
11 Trapani 34 11 8 15 42:42 41
12 Cavese 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Altamura 34 9 10 15 35:47 37
14 Sorrento 34 9 8 17 26:49 35
15 Latina 34 9 7 18 25:56 34
16 Casertana 34 6 14 14 30:38 32
17 Foggia 34 7 10 17 34:51 31
18 ACR Messina 34 6 11 17 29:53 25
19 Turris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Taranto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)