Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
David Luis
25'
25'
Rafael Klein
41'
41'
Cerqueira G.
AI Match Summary
The Gaucho 2025 game between Avenida and Brasil de Pelotas finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Brasil de Pelotas come out ahead of Avenida on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Avenida Clean Sheet 68%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avenida | Brasil de Pelotas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 14 | 16 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2025 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avenida
0:1
Feb 20, 2025 Gaucho
Avenida vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Gaucho
Avenida vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1
Jul 10, 2024 Serie D
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avenida
4:0
Jun 23, 2024 Serie D
Avenida vs Brasil de Pelotas
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avenida Compare
Top Goalscorer Rafael Klein
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Brasil de Pelotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Cerqueira G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avenida 41 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avenida Brasil de Pelotas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Avenida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avenida has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Avenida's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Brasil de Pelotas conceded in 54% of 35 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Brasil de Pelotas
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Avenida
(Home) 07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0 Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1 Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1 Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1 Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1 Guarany de Bage
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07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0 Inter Santa Maria
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1 Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1 Guarany de Bage
24 Jan
Avenida
1 : 1 Novo Hamburgo
22 Jan
Avenida
3 : 0 Ypiranga FC
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Brasil de Pelotas
(Away) 22 Aug
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0 Aimore
19 Aug
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1 Brasil de Pelotas
12 Aug
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 1 Gramadense
09 Aug
Passo Fundo
0 : 0 Brasil de Pelotas
06 Aug
EC Guarani
0 : 2 Brasil de Pelotas
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19 Aug
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1 Brasil de Pelotas
09 Aug
Passo Fundo
0 : 0 Brasil de Pelotas
06 Aug
EC Guarani
0 : 2 Brasil de Pelotas
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0 Brasil de Pelotas
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1 Brasil de Pelotas
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:3 | 17 |
| 2 | Guarany de Bage | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 3 | EC Sao Jose (PA) | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Avenida | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Gaucho 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 20 |
| 2 | SER Caxias do Sul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Ypiranga FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Pelotas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Gaucho 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Luiz | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 9 |
| 3 | Monsoon | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 4 | Brasil de Pelotas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:10 | 7 |
Promotion - Gaucho 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)
