Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avenida vs Guarany de Bage

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Eucaliptos, Santa Cruz do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Wesley Pionteck
Assist: Xandy
31'
Sub
Wesley Pionteck In: Emerson Tucao
Out: Wesley Pionteck
32' Event
Marquinhos
Assist: Vitor Oliveira

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho game between Avenida and Guarany de Bage finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avenida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Avenida
35%
Draws
27%
Guarany de Bage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Avenida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarany de Bage come out ahead of Avenida on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Avenida's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Avenida Clean Sheet 68%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avenida Guarany de Bage
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 14 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.87 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Gaucho
Guarany de Bage vs Avenida
1:1
Feb 9, 2026 Gaucho
Avenida vs Guarany de Bage
2:1
Feb 19, 2024 Gaucho
Avenida vs Guarany de Bage
0:1
Nov 21, 2021 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs Avenida
2:1
Nov 13, 2021 Gaucho 2
Avenida vs Guarany de Bage
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avenida Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Pionteck
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Guarany de Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquinhos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avenida 59 / 100
Guarany de Bage 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avenida Guarany de Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avenida went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Guarany de Bage has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Avenida scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Avenida VS Guarany de Bage
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avenida

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1
Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1
Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1
Guarany de Bage
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Guarany de Bage

(Away)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
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