Sport Picks

Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021 Stade rue Henri Dunant, Beggen

Avenir Beggen

Sun, Oct 18, 2020

3 - 2

02:00 PM

Mondercange

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Avenir Beggen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Avenir Beggen

15%

Draws

57%

Mondercange

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondercange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence

Avenir Beggen carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Avenir Beggen a 28% chance of winning this.
Avenir Beggen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Mondercange, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Avenir Beggen Clean Sheet 19%

Mondercange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Avenir Beggen	Mondercange
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	8	6
Draws	0	3
Losses	21	22
Goals Scored	1.14	1.19
Goals Conceded	2.1	2.68
Expected Goals (xG)	2.98	1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2020 Luxembourg Cup

Avenir Beggen vs Mondercange

3:2

May 28, 2006 BGL Ligue

Avenir Beggen vs Mondercange

2:3

May 15, 2004 BGL Ligue

Avenir Beggen vs Mondercange

2:2

Apr 8, 2004 BGL Ligue

Mondercange vs Avenir Beggen

1:1

Nov 28, 2003 BGL Ligue

Mondercange vs Avenir Beggen

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avenir Beggen 85 / 100

Mondercange 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Avenir Beggen Mondercange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avenir Beggen Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondercange has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Avenir Beggen found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Mondercange has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avenir Beggen VS Mondercange

3.33 Goals Scored 0.25

2.33 Goals Conceded 2.63

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 50%

100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avenir Beggen

(Home)

20 Sept

Les Ardoisiers Perle

0 : 7

Avenir Beggen

21 Jul

Jeunesse Esch

4 : 1

Avenir Beggen

21 Sept

Avenir Beggen

2 : 3

Rumelange

06 Oct

Union Tetange

2 : 0

Avenir Beggen

01 Oct

ALSS Luxembourg

2 : 1

Avenir Beggen

Page 1 of 6

Mondercange

(Away)

20 Sept

US Folschette

1 : 4

Mondercange

09 Nov

Mondercange

2 : 3

Victoria Rosport

21 Sept

FF Norden

1 : 4

Mondercange

28 Jul

Mondercange

0 : 6

FC Mamer

19 Jul

Mondercange

0 : 3

Kaerjeng

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Jeunesse Schieren 1

Union Titus Petange 2

Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1

Ettelbruck 2

Racing Troisvierges 0

Racing Luxembourg 11

FC Schengen 1

Differdange 5

FC Ehlerange 4

Berdenia Berbourg 3

Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0

Jeunesse Canach 4

Syra Mensdorf 1

FC Mamer 0

FF Norden 1

Luxembourg City 2

Avenir Beggen 3

Mondercange 2

Pratzerthal/Redange 0

Fola 4

Echternach 1

Mertert/Wasserbillig 3

Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0

Rumelange 10

FC Munsbach 2

Alisontia Steinsel 4

Mertzig 0

Dudelange 5

Oberkorn 2

Esch 1

US Feulen 0

Hostert 1

Grevenmacher 2

Kaerjeng 3

Blo Weiss Itzig 0

Hesperange 4

Erpeldange 1

Schifflange 3

Harlange/Tarchamps 0

Wiltz 8

CS Sanem 2

Bettembourg 0

AS Wincrange 0

FC Rodange 91 2

Lorentzweiler 2

FC Marisca Mersch 0

Diekirch 0

Mondorf 6

FC Koerich/Simmern 2

Bissen 4

FC Noertzange HF 0

Jeunesse Esch 6

Steinfort 1

Jeunesse Junglinster 3

Union Tetange 3

FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4

FC Red Black/Egalite 07 -

Blo Weiss Medernach -

Kehlen 0

Progres Niedercorn 2

AS Luxembourg/Porto 2

Victoria Rosport 5

Cebra 2

UNA Strassen 3

1/16-finals

Union Titus Petange -

Ettelbruck -

Racing Luxembourg -

Differdange -

FC Ehlerange -

Jeunesse Canach -

Syra Mensdorf -

Luxembourg City -

Avenir Beggen -

Fola -

Mertert/Wasserbillig -

Rumelange -

Alisontia Steinsel -

Dudelange -

Oberkorn -

Hostert -

Kaerjeng -

Hesperange -

Schifflange -

Wiltz -

CS Sanem -

FC Rodange 91 -

Lorentzweiler -

Mondorf -

Bissen -

Jeunesse Esch -

Jeunesse Junglinster -

FC Yellow Boys Weiler -

TBD -

Progres Niedercorn -

Victoria Rosport -

UNA Strassen -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Avenir Beggen vs Mondercange

Luxembourg

Avenir Beggen

Mondercange

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Avenir Beggen

Mondercange

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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