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Aves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020
Fri, Apr 10, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aves U19 host Pacos Ferreira U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Aves U19 have averaged 1.26 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Pacos Ferreira U19's 1.34 scored and 1.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Aves U19 have won 1 to Pacos Ferreira U19's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 30, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.18) point toward Aves U19. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aves U19
30%
Draws
39%
Pacos Ferreira U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pacos Ferreira U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Pacos Ferreira U19 have won more games recently than Aves U19.
  • Model gives Aves U19 a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aves U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Pacos Ferreira U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aves U19 Pacos Ferreira U19
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.26 1.34
Goals Conceded 2 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Aves U19
0:0
Apr 10, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Aves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
0:0
Jan 25, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Aves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
0:4
Oct 26, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Aves U19
1:1
Jun 1, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Aves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aves U19 58 / 100
Pacos Ferreira U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aves U19 Pacos Ferreira U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aves U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pacos Ferreira U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Aves U19 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (19 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Aves U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pacos Ferreira U19
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aves U19

(Home)
08 Mar
Aves U19
1 : 2
Gil Vicente U19
01 Mar
Nacional U19
1 : 1
Aves U19
22 Feb
Aves U19
2 : 0
Leixoes U19
01 Feb
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
2 : 1
Aves U19
25 Jan
Aves U19
0 : 4
Pacos Ferreira U19
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Pacos Ferreira U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Pacos Ferreira U19
3 : 2
Vizela U19
11 Apr
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Pacos Ferreira U19
04 Apr
Pacos Ferreira U19
0 : 4
Braga U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Pacos Ferreira U19
2 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
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