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Aves vs AD Fafe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021 Estádio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves
Sun, Jan 10, 2021
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aves host AD Fafe in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021. AD Fafe are expected to control this from the start. AD Fafe have shipped 0.85 goals a game lately, while Aves have conceded 2.5 and scored 0.13. Past meetings favor Aves slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 0.93) back AD Fafe to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Aves
15%
Draws
65%
AD Fafe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • AD Fafe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AD Fafe's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Aves Clean Sheet 20%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aves AD Fafe
Matches Played 8 34
Wins 1 20
Draws 0 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.13 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Fafe vs Aves
0:0
Jan 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Aves vs AD Fafe
0:0
May 21, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Aves vs AD Fafe
3:0
Jan 8, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
AD Fafe vs Aves
1:2
Nov 17, 2013 Taça de Portugal
AD Fafe vs Aves
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aves 20 / 100
AD Fafe 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aves AD Fafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Aves scored in 13% of their last 8 outings.

AD Fafe has conceded goals in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Aves went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Fafe
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aves

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Felgueiras
3 : 0
Aves
26 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0
Aves
21 Jul
Aves
0 : 4
Benfica
14 Jul
Santa Clara
3 : 0
Aves
08 Jul
Aves
1 : 0
Vitoria Setubal
Page 1 of 2

AD Fafe

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pevidem 18 9 7 2 27:16 34
2 AD Fafe 18 10 4 4 25:17 34
3 Vitoria Guimaraes B 18 8 8 2 33:14 32
4 FC Felgueiras 18 8 7 3 26:17 31
5 Sao Martinho 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
6 Berco 18 7 5 6 30:27 26
7 Rio Ave B 18 7 4 7 23:23 25
8 Tirsense 18 6 3 9 21:29 21
9 Brito 18 3 5 10 20:31 14
10 Mondinense 18 0 1 17 11:46 1
11 Camacha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Aves 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)