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Aves vs Mondinense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021 Estádio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves
Sun, Nov 8, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aves host Mondinense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Aves have averaged 0.13 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Mondinense's 0.65 scored and 2.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Aves slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 0.80) point toward Aves. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aves
15%
Draws
0%
Mondinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mondinense have won more games recently than Aves.
  • Model gives Aves a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Aves Clean Sheet 20%
Mondinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aves Mondinense
Matches Played 8 26
Wins 1 2
Draws 0 2
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 0.13 0.65
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Mondinense vs Aves
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Aves vs Mondinense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aves 85 / 100
Mondinense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aves Mondinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondinense has conceded goals in 96% of their last 26 outings.

Mondinense's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aves scored in 13% of their last 8 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aves VS Mondinense
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aves

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Felgueiras
3 : 0
Aves
26 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0
Aves
21 Jul
Aves
0 : 4
Benfica
14 Jul
Santa Clara
3 : 0
Aves
08 Jul
Aves
1 : 0
Vitoria Setubal
Page 1 of 2

Mondinense

(Away)
10 Sept
Mondinense
0 : 2
CDC Montalegre
11 Sept
FC Felgueiras
5 : 2
Mondinense
10 Apr
Mondinense
2 : 4
Vitoria Guimaraes B
03 Apr
Sao Martinho
5 : 1
Mondinense
14 Mar
Rio Ave B
5 : 0
Mondinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pevidem 18 9 7 2 27:16 34
2 AD Fafe 18 10 4 4 25:17 34
3 Vitoria Guimaraes B 18 8 8 2 33:14 32
4 FC Felgueiras 18 8 7 3 26:17 31
5 Sao Martinho 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
6 Berco 18 7 5 6 30:27 26
7 Rio Ave B 18 7 4 7 23:23 25
8 Tirsense 18 6 3 9 21:29 21
9 Brito 18 3 5 10 20:31 14
10 Mondinense 18 0 1 17 11:46 1
11 Camacha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Aves 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)