Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avia Swidnik vs Chelmianka Chelm

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kuzdra J.
77' Event
Kalinowski W.
82' Event
Kaminski S.

AI Match Summary

Avia Swidnik in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avia Swidnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Avia Swidnik
6%
Draws
4%
Chelmianka Chelm
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avia Swidnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Avia Swidnik have won more games recently than Chelmianka Chelm.
  • Model gives Avia Swidnik a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 14%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avia Swidnik Chelmianka Chelm
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 20 18
Draws 9 9
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 2.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Avia Swidnik vs Chelmianka Chelm
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Chelmianka Chelm
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Avia Swidnik
1:1
Mar 26, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Chelmianka Chelm
2:3
Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Avia Swidnik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalinowski W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaminski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuzdra J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avia Swidnik 84 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avia Swidnik Chelmianka Chelm

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avia Swidnik scored in 100% of their last 31 games.

Avia Swidnik has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chelmianka Chelm has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Avia Swidnik VS Chelmianka Chelm
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%