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Avia Swidnik vs Izolator Boguchwala

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VIII
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group VIII game between Avia Swidnik and Izolator Boguchwala finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avia Swidnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Avia Swidnik
30%
Draws
23%
Izolator Boguchwala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avia Swidnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avia Swidnik come out ahead of Izolator Boguchwala on wins alone.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 20%
Izolator Boguchwala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avia Swidnik Izolator Boguchwala
Matches Played 50 30
Wins 33 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.44 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII
Avia Swidnik vs Izolator Boguchwala
2:0
Oct 31, 2015 III Liga - Group VIII
Izolator Boguchwala vs Avia Swidnik
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avia Swidnik 36 / 100
Izolator Boguchwala 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avia Swidnik Izolator Boguchwala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izolator Boguchwala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avia Swidnik's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 50 recent games.

Izolator Boguchwala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Izolator Boguchwala registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avia Swidnik VS Izolator Boguchwala
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avia Swidnik

(Home)
18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2
Avia Swidnik
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
Avia Swidnik
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
Page 1 of 10

Izolator Boguchwala

(Away)
25 Jul
Izolator Boguchwala
1 : 1
Stropkov
15 Feb
Izolator Boguchwala
1 : 3
Cosmos Nowotaniec
03 Feb
Jaroslaw
2 : 1
Izolator Boguchwala
01 Jun
Izolator Boguchwala
1 : 1
Orleta Radzyn
28 May
Avia Swidnik
2 : 0
Izolator Boguchwala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motor Lublin 34 24 5 5 80:23 77
2 S. Rzeszow 34 23 5 6 80:33 74
3 R. Rzeszow 34 19 8 7 50:25 65
4 Orleta Radzyn 34 18 8 8 59:42 62
5 KS Karpaty Krosno 34 17 10 7 63:33 61
6 Avia Swidnik 34 17 7 10 69:41 58
7 Jaroslaw 34 16 9 9 51:29 57
8 Polonia Przemysl 34 16 6 12 40:40 54
9 Lublinianka 34 13 9 12 37:35 48
10 Chelmianka Chelm 34 13 8 13 57:52 47
11 Piast Tuczempy 34 12 8 14 34:41 44
12 Sokol Sieniawa 34 12 8 14 54:57 44
13 Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska 34 11 9 14 37:42 42
14 Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski 34 10 7 17 40:57 37
15 Lewart Lubartow 34 10 7 17 42:54 37
16 Izolator Boguchwala 34 8 5 21 42:74 29
17 Hetman Zamosc 34 3 2 29 16:108 11
18 Orzel Przeworsk 34 2 3 29 23:88 9
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)