Sport Picks
Avia Swidnik vs Polonia Bytom
Poland
Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski im. Czesława Krygiera, Swidnik 
Match Events
6'
6'
Michalski K.
(Penalty)
15'
15'
Zuber M.
Assist: Remenyuk A.
22'
22'
Kwiatkowski O.
AI Match Summary
Avia Swidnik in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Bytom
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Avia Swidnik lately — more wins on the board than Polonia Bytom.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Avia Swidnik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Avia Swidnik, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 14%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avia Swidnik | Polonia Bytom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 3, 2025 Polish Cup
Avia Swidnik vs Polonia Bytom
4:2
Sep 25, 2024 Polish Cup
Avia Swidnik vs Polonia Bytom
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avia Swidnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Zuber M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pigiel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Polonia Bytom Compare
Top Goalscorer Matic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avia Swidnik 35 / 100
Polonia Bytom 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avia Swidnik Polonia Bytom
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Bytom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avia Swidnik scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Polonia Bytom's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.
H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.
Avia Swidnik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Avia Swidnik VS Polonia Bytom
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Avia Swidnik
(Home) 18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0 Avia Swidnik
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3 Zielona Gora
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3 Zielona Gora
22 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 4 Zawisza
09 Aug
Avia Swidnik
3 : 0 Sandecja Nowy S.
Page 1 of 3
Polonia Bytom
(Away) 18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Podbeskidzie
30 Aug
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 Polonia Bytom
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
30 Aug
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 Polonia Bytom
16 Aug
Stal Mielec
5 : 2 Polonia Bytom
31 Jul
LKS Lodz
2 : 1 Polonia Bytom
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Zawisza -
TBD -
TBD -
Tychy -
GKS Wikielec -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
R. Rzeszow 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
Hutnik Krakow 3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
Bytom Odrzanski -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Chojniczanka 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1
Legnica II -
TBD -
Swit Szczecin 2
LKS Lodz II 1
Malapanew Ozimek -
TBD -
TBD -
Pruszkow -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
LKS Lomza -
TBD -
TBD -
Odra Opole -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
Gryf Slupsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3
Wisla Pulawy 0
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
Arka Gdynia -
TBD -
TBD -
Motor Lublin -
Legia II -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Swinoujscie -
TBD -
KKS Kalisz 0
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II -
TBD -
Stal Stalowa Wola 3
Skra Czestochowa 1
Warta Poznan 1
Olimpia Elblag 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Zaglebie II 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow 0
Ol. Grudziadz 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki -
TBD -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leczna -
TBD -
TBD -
Cracovia -
LKS Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
GKS Katowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
TBD -
TBD -
Widzew Lodz -
Radomiak Radom -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
1/32-finals
Zawisza 2
Tychy 0
GKS Wikielec 2
Podbeskidzie 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0
Hutnik Krakow 1
Bytom Odrzanski 0
Wisla 1
Beskid Andrychow 0
Chojniczanka 3
Legnica II 1
Swit Szczecin 3
Malapanew Ozimek 1
Pruszkow 2
S. Rzeszow 0
Korona Kielce 1
LKS Lomza 0
Odra Opole 2
Korona Kielce II 0
Piast Gliwice 1
Gryf Slupsk 1
Polonia Warszawa 0
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec 1
Puszcza 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0
Lechia Gdansk 1
Arka Gdynia 1
Motor Lublin 0
Legia II 0
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 3
Ruch Chorzow 1
Swinoujscie 3
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 1
Warta Poznan 0
Polonia Bytom 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 1
Ol. Grudziadz 3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Leczna 1
Cracovia 5
LKS Lodz 5
Chrobry Glogow 3
GKS Katowice 4
Wisla Plock 2
Legnica 2
Pogon Siedlce 0
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0
Pogon Szczecin 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet 2
Widzew Lodz 3
Radomiak Radom 0
Zaglebie 2
1/16-finals
Zawisza 3
GKS Wikielec 0
Hutnik Krakow 0
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 3
Swit Szczecin 1
Pruszkow 0
Korona Kielce 3
Odra Opole 0
Piast Gliwice 2
Gryf Slupsk 1
Lech Poznan 2
Puszcza 1
Lechia Gdansk 3
Arka Gdynia 1
Gornik Zabrze 2
Avia Swidnik 3
Swinoujscie 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Ol. Grudziadz 0
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 3
Cracovia 0
LKS Lodz 1
GKS Katowice 2
Legnica 2
Jagiellonia 3
Legia 1
Pogon Szczecin 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Zaglebie 0
1/8-finals
Zawisza 4
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 2
Korona Kielce 1
Piast Gliwice 0
Lech Poznan 2
Lechia Gdansk 1
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 4
Polonia Bytom 2
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 3
Jagiellonia 1
Pogon Szczecin 0
Widzew Lodz 1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza 2
Chojniczanka 1
Lech Poznan 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Avia Swidnik 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Semi-finals
Zawisza 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Rakow Czestochowa 5
GKS Katowice 4
Final
Gornik Zabrze 2
Rakow Czestochowa 0
