Sport Picks
Avia Swidnik vs Rakow Czestochowa
Poland
Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski im. Czesława Krygiera, Swidnik 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Silva J. C. In: Adriano L. A. S.
Out: Silva J. C.
23'
23'
Ilenic M.
27'
27'
Remenyuk A.
AI Match Summary
Rakow Czestochowa in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Avia Swidnik have won more games recently than Rakow Czestochowa.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Avia Swidnik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rakow Czestochowa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 15%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avia Swidnik | Rakow Czestochowa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 19 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2026 Polish Cup
Avia Swidnik vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avia Swidnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Zawadzki D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Rakow Czestochowa Compare
Top Goalscorer Brunes J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mosor A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avia Swidnik 30 / 100
Rakow Czestochowa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avia Swidnik Rakow Czestochowa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AVI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avia Swidnik scored in 100% of their last 27 games.
Solid form: Avia Swidnik remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Rakow Czestochowa has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Avia Swidnik VS Rakow Czestochowa
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Avia Swidnik
(Home) 17 Jul
Stal Mielec
3 : 4 Avia Swidnik
11 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
23 May
Avia Swidnik
4 : 0 Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
23 May
Avia Swidnik
4 : 0 Wisloka Debica
16 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 1 Korona Kielce II
09 May
Avia Swidnik
1 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
18 Apr
Avia Swidnik
1 : 1 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 3
Rakow Czestochowa
(Away) 23 Jul
Rakow Czestochowa
3 : 1 Valletta
16 Jul
GKS Katowice
1 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
11 Jul
PSV
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Waregem
4 : 3 Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
GKS Katowice
1 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
11 Jul
PSV
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Waregem
4 : 3 Rakow Czestochowa
17 May
Piast Gliwice
1 : 3 Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Zawisza-
TBD-
TBD-
Tychy-
GKS Wikielec-
TBD-
Podbeskidzie2
R. Rzeszow1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg-
TBD-
Hutnik Krakow3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0
Bytom Odrzanski-
TBD-
TBD-
Wisla-
Beskid Andrychow-
TBD-
Chojniczanka2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala1
Legnica II-
TBD-
Swit Szczecin2
LKS Lodz II1
Malapanew Ozimek-
TBD-
TBD-
Pruszkow-
S. Rzeszow-
TBD-
TBD-
Korona Kielce-
LKS Lomza-
TBD-
TBD-
Odra Opole-
Korona Kielce II-
TBD-
TBD-
Piast Gliwice-
Gryf Slupsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Polonia Warszawa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Stal Mielec-
TBD-
TBD-
Puszcza-
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3
Wisla Pulawy0
TBD-
Lechia Gdansk-
Arka Gdynia-
TBD-
TBD-
Motor Lublin-
Legia II-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Avia Swidnik-
TBD-
TBD-
Ruch Chorzow-
Swinoujscie-
TBD-
KKS Kalisz0
GKS Jastrzebie2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II-
TBD-
Stal Stalowa Wola3
Skra Czestochowa1
Warta Poznan1
Olimpia Elblag0
Polonia Bytom7
Zaglebie II1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol-
TBD-
KS Wieczysta Krakow0
Ol. Grudziadz1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki-
TBD-
TBD-
Slask Wroclaw-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leczna-
TBD-
TBD-
Cracovia-
LKS Lodz-
TBD-
TBD-
Chrobry Glogow-
GKS Katowice-
TBD-
TBD-
Wisla Plock-
Legnica-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogon Siedlce-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Legia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kotwica Kolobrzeg-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogon Szczecin-
Termalica Bruk-Bet-
TBD-
TBD-
Widzew Lodz-
Radomiak Radom-
TBD-
TBD-
Zaglebie-
1/32-finals
Zawisza2
Tychy0
GKS Wikielec2
Podbeskidzie1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg0
Hutnik Krakow1
Bytom Odrzanski0
Wisla1
Beskid Andrychow0
Chojniczanka3
Legnica II1
Swit Szczecin3
Malapanew Ozimek1
Pruszkow2
S. Rzeszow0
Korona Kielce1
LKS Lomza0
Odra Opole2
Korona Kielce II0
Piast Gliwice1
Gryf Slupsk1
Polonia Warszawa0
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Stal Mielec1
Puszcza2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki0
Lechia Gdansk1
Arka Gdynia1
Motor Lublin0
Legia II0
Gornik Zabrze3
Avia Swidnik3
Ruch Chorzow1
Swinoujscie3
GKS Jastrzebie2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II3
Stal Stalowa Wola1
Warta Poznan0
Polonia Bytom1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1
Ol. Grudziadz3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki1
Slask Wroclaw2
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
Leczna1
Cracovia5
LKS Lodz5
Chrobry Glogow3
GKS Katowice4
Wisla Plock2
Legnica2
Pogon Siedlce0
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Legia-
TBD-
Kotwica Kolobrzeg0
Pogon Szczecin3
Termalica Bruk-Bet2
Widzew Lodz3
Radomiak Radom0
Zaglebie2
1/16-finals
Zawisza3
GKS Wikielec0
Hutnik Krakow0
Wisla1
Chojniczanka3
Swit Szczecin1
Pruszkow0
Korona Kielce3
Odra Opole0
Piast Gliwice2
Gryf Slupsk1
Lech Poznan2
Puszcza1
Lechia Gdansk3
Arka Gdynia1
Gornik Zabrze2
Avia Swidnik3
Swinoujscie0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II0
Polonia Bytom7
Ol. Grudziadz0
Slask Wroclaw1
Rakow Czestochowa3
Cracovia0
LKS Lodz1
GKS Katowice2
Legnica2
Jagiellonia3
Legia1
Pogon Szczecin2
Widzew Lodz1
Zaglebie0
1/8-finals
Zawisza4
Wisla1
Chojniczanka2
Korona Kielce1
Piast Gliwice0
Lech Poznan2
Lechia Gdansk1
Gornik Zabrze3
Avia Swidnik4
Polonia Bytom2
Slask Wroclaw1
Rakow Czestochowa2
GKS Katowice3
Jagiellonia1
Pogon Szczecin0
Widzew Lodz1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza2
Chojniczanka1
Lech Poznan0
Gornik Zabrze1
Avia Swidnik1
Rakow Czestochowa2
GKS Katowice2
Widzew Lodz1
Semi-finals
Zawisza0
Gornik Zabrze1
Rakow Czestochowa5
GKS Katowice4
Final
Gornik Zabrze2
Rakow Czestochowa0