Sport Picks
Avia Swidnik vs Rakow Czestochowa
Poland
Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski im. Czesława Krygiera, Swidnik 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Silva J. C. In: Adriano L. A. S.
Out: Silva J. C.
23'
23'
Ilenic M.
27'
27'
Remenyuk A.
AI Match Summary
Rakow Czestochowa in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avia Swidnik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Avia Swidnik have won more games recently than Rakow Czestochowa.
- 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Avia Swidnik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rakow Czestochowa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 13%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avia Swidnik | Rakow Czestochowa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2026 Polish Cup
Avia Swidnik vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avia Swidnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Zawadzki D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Rakow Czestochowa Compare
Top Goalscorer Brunes J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mosor A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avia Swidnik 30 / 100
Rakow Czestochowa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avia Swidnik Rakow Czestochowa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Avia Swidnik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avia Swidnik scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Rakow Czestochowa conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Rakow Czestochowa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Avia Swidnik VS Rakow Czestochowa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Avia Swidnik
(Home) 18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0 Avia Swidnik
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3 Zielona Gora
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3 Zielona Gora
22 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 4 Zawisza
09 Aug
Avia Swidnik
3 : 0 Sandecja Nowy S.
Page 1 of 3
Rakow Czestochowa
(Away) 19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3 Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
06 Sept
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 Rakow Czestochowa
03 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
06 Sept
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 Rakow Czestochowa
20 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
16 Aug
Cracovia
2 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
13 Aug
Hammarby
0 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Zawisza -
TBD -
TBD -
Tychy -
GKS Wikielec -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
R. Rzeszow 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
Hutnik Krakow 3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
Bytom Odrzanski -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Chojniczanka 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1
Legnica II -
TBD -
Swit Szczecin 2
LKS Lodz II 1
Malapanew Ozimek -
TBD -
TBD -
Pruszkow -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
LKS Lomza -
TBD -
TBD -
Odra Opole -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
Gryf Slupsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3
Wisla Pulawy 0
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
Arka Gdynia -
TBD -
TBD -
Motor Lublin -
Legia II -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Swinoujscie -
TBD -
KKS Kalisz 0
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II -
TBD -
Stal Stalowa Wola 3
Skra Czestochowa 1
Warta Poznan 1
Olimpia Elblag 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Zaglebie II 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow 0
Ol. Grudziadz 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki -
TBD -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leczna -
TBD -
TBD -
Cracovia -
LKS Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
GKS Katowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
TBD -
TBD -
Widzew Lodz -
Radomiak Radom -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
1/32-finals
Zawisza 2
Tychy 0
GKS Wikielec 2
Podbeskidzie 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0
Hutnik Krakow 1
Bytom Odrzanski 0
Wisla 1
Beskid Andrychow 0
Chojniczanka 3
Legnica II 1
Swit Szczecin 3
Malapanew Ozimek 1
Pruszkow 2
S. Rzeszow 0
Korona Kielce 1
LKS Lomza 0
Odra Opole 2
Korona Kielce II 0
Piast Gliwice 1
Gryf Slupsk 1
Polonia Warszawa 0
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec 1
Puszcza 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0
Lechia Gdansk 1
Arka Gdynia 1
Motor Lublin 0
Legia II 0
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 3
Ruch Chorzow 1
Swinoujscie 3
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 1
Warta Poznan 0
Polonia Bytom 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 1
Ol. Grudziadz 3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Leczna 1
Cracovia 5
LKS Lodz 5
Chrobry Glogow 3
GKS Katowice 4
Wisla Plock 2
Legnica 2
Pogon Siedlce 0
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0
Pogon Szczecin 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet 2
Widzew Lodz 3
Radomiak Radom 0
Zaglebie 2
1/16-finals
Zawisza 3
GKS Wikielec 0
Hutnik Krakow 0
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 3
Swit Szczecin 1
Pruszkow 0
Korona Kielce 3
Odra Opole 0
Piast Gliwice 2
Gryf Slupsk 1
Lech Poznan 2
Puszcza 1
Lechia Gdansk 3
Arka Gdynia 1
Gornik Zabrze 2
Avia Swidnik 3
Swinoujscie 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Ol. Grudziadz 0
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 3
Cracovia 0
LKS Lodz 1
GKS Katowice 2
Legnica 2
Jagiellonia 3
Legia 1
Pogon Szczecin 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Zaglebie 0
1/8-finals
Zawisza 4
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 2
Korona Kielce 1
Piast Gliwice 0
Lech Poznan 2
Lechia Gdansk 1
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 4
Polonia Bytom 2
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 3
Jagiellonia 1
Pogon Szczecin 0
Widzew Lodz 1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza 2
Chojniczanka 1
Lech Poznan 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Avia Swidnik 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Semi-finals
Zawisza 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Rakow Czestochowa 5
GKS Katowice 4
Final
Gornik Zabrze 2
Rakow Czestochowa 0
