Sport Picks
Avia Swidnik vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
90'
90'
Remenyuk A.
AI Match Summary
Avia Swidnik in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avia Swidnik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Avia Swidnik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Avia Swidnik lately — more wins on the board than Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Avia Swidnik taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 20%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avia Swidnik | Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 2 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Avia Swidnik
2:2
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Avia Swidnik
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3:0
Apr 13, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avia Swidnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Remenyuk A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avia Swidnik 76 / 100
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avia Swidnik Siarka Tarnobrzeg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AVI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avia Swidnik's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Avia Swidnik has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Avia Swidnik VS Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Avia Swidnik
(Home) 17 Jul
Stal Mielec
3 : 4 Avia Swidnik
11 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
23 May
Avia Swidnik
4 : 0 Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
23 May
Avia Swidnik
4 : 0 Wisloka Debica
16 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 1 Korona Kielce II
09 May
Avia Swidnik
1 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
18 Apr
Avia Swidnik
1 : 1 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 4
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
(Away) 18 Jul
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 4 R. Rzeszow
11 Jul
Wisloka Debica
0 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
04 Jul
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
30 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
5 : 6 Cracovia II
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Wisloka Debica
0 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Avia Swidnik
1 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
26 Apr
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)