Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avia Swidnik vs Swinoujscie

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski im. Czesława Krygiera, Swidnik
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Pisarek D.
Assist: Kalinowski W.
33' Event
Zuber M.
Assist: Pigiel M.
43' Event
Pigiel M.

AI Match Summary

Avia Swidnik in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Avia Swidnik
20%
Draws
40%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Swinoujscie haven't matched Avia Swidnik's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Avia Swidnik taking it.
  • Avia Swidnik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Avia Swidnik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 10%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avia Swidnik Swinoujscie
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Polish Cup
Avia Swidnik vs Swinoujscie
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Pisarek D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zuber M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Swinoujscie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avia Swidnik 83 / 100
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avia Swidnik Swinoujscie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avia Swidnik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avia Swidnik found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Swinoujscie has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Swinoujscie registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avia Swidnik VS Swinoujscie
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avia Swidnik

(Home)
18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2
Avia Swidnik
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
Avia Swidnik
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
Page 1 of 6

Swinoujscie

(Away)
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3
Swinoujscie
29 Aug
Swinoujscie
1 : 5
Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Zawisza -
TBD -
TBD -
Tychy -
GKS Wikielec -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
R. Rzeszow 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
Hutnik Krakow 3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
Bytom Odrzanski -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Chojniczanka 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1
Legnica II -
TBD -
Swit Szczecin 2
LKS Lodz II 1
Malapanew Ozimek -
TBD -
TBD -
Pruszkow -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
LKS Lomza -
TBD -
TBD -
Odra Opole -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
Gryf Slupsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3
Wisla Pulawy 0
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
Arka Gdynia -
TBD -
TBD -
Motor Lublin -
Legia II -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Swinoujscie -
TBD -
KKS Kalisz 0
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II -
TBD -
Stal Stalowa Wola 3
Skra Czestochowa 1
Warta Poznan 1
Olimpia Elblag 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Zaglebie II 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow 0
Ol. Grudziadz 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki -
TBD -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leczna -
TBD -
TBD -
Cracovia -
LKS Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
GKS Katowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
TBD -
TBD -
Widzew Lodz -
Radomiak Radom -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
1/32-finals
Zawisza 2
Tychy 0
GKS Wikielec 2
Podbeskidzie 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0
Hutnik Krakow 1
Bytom Odrzanski 0
Wisla 1
Beskid Andrychow 0
Chojniczanka 3
Legnica II 1
Swit Szczecin 3
Malapanew Ozimek 1
Pruszkow 2
S. Rzeszow 0
Korona Kielce 1
LKS Lomza 0
Odra Opole 2
Korona Kielce II 0
Piast Gliwice 1
Gryf Slupsk 1
Polonia Warszawa 0
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec 1
Puszcza 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0
Lechia Gdansk 1
Arka Gdynia 1
Motor Lublin 0
Legia II 0
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 3
Ruch Chorzow 1
Swinoujscie 3
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 1
Warta Poznan 0
Polonia Bytom 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 1
Ol. Grudziadz 3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Leczna 1
Cracovia 5
LKS Lodz 5
Chrobry Glogow 3
GKS Katowice 4
Wisla Plock 2
Legnica 2
Pogon Siedlce 0
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0
Pogon Szczecin 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet 2
Widzew Lodz 3
Radomiak Radom 0
Zaglebie 2
1/16-finals
Zawisza 3
GKS Wikielec 0
Hutnik Krakow 0
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 3
Swit Szczecin 1
Pruszkow 0
Korona Kielce 3
Odra Opole 0
Piast Gliwice 2
Gryf Slupsk 1
Lech Poznan 2
Puszcza 1
Lechia Gdansk 3
Arka Gdynia 1
Gornik Zabrze 2
Avia Swidnik 3
Swinoujscie 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Ol. Grudziadz 0
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 3
Cracovia 0
LKS Lodz 1
GKS Katowice 2
Legnica 2
Jagiellonia 3
Legia 1
Pogon Szczecin 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Zaglebie 0
1/8-finals
Zawisza 4
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 2
Korona Kielce 1
Piast Gliwice 0
Lech Poznan 2
Lechia Gdansk 1
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 4
Polonia Bytom 2
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 3
Jagiellonia 1
Pogon Szczecin 0
Widzew Lodz 1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza 2
Chojniczanka 1
Lech Poznan 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Avia Swidnik 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Semi-finals
Zawisza 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Rakow Czestochowa 5
GKS Katowice 4
Final
Gornik Zabrze 2
Rakow Czestochowa 0