Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka

Japan Japan

J1 League Best Denki Stadium
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avispa Fukuoka host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Avispa Fukuoka have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Cerezo Osaka's 2.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Cerezo Osaka slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.00, favoring Cerezo Osaka. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Avispa Fukuoka
6%
Draws
90%
Cerezo Osaka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cerezo Osaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cerezo Osaka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cerezo Osaka taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cerezo Osaka have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 10%
Cerezo Osaka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Cerezo Osaka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
Feb 15, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka
2:4
May 24, 2025 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avispa Fukuoka 10 / 100
Cerezo Osaka 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avispa Fukuoka Cerezo Osaka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avispa Fukuoka's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cerezo Osaka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Avispa Fukuoka has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avispa Fukuoka VS Cerezo Osaka
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mito00000:00
2Avispa Fukuoka00000:00
3Cerezo Osaka00000:00
4Verdy00000:00
5Kyoto00000:00
6Nagoya Grampus00000:00
7Shimizu S-Pulse00000:00
8Yokohama F. Marinos00000:00
9Kawasaki Frontale00000:00
10Kashiwa Reysol00000:00
11Chiba00000:00
12Vissel Kobe00000:00
13Urawa Reds00000:00
14Sanfrecce Hiroshima00000:00
15FC Tokyo00000:00
16Kashima Antlers00000:00
17Gamba Osaka00000:00
18Okayama00000:00
19Machida Zelvia00000:00
20V-Varen Nagasaki00000:00