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Avispa Fukuoka vs Okinawa

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2022 Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka Logo

Avispa Fukuoka

3 - 0
FT
Okinawa Logo

Okinawa

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Kanamori T.
46'
Sub
Gibo Y. In: Todaka H.
Out: Gibo Y.
54' Event
Kitajima Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Avispa Fukuoka in this Emperors Cup 2022 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Avispa Fukuoka
15%
Draws
73%
Okinawa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okinawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avispa Fukuoka lately — more wins on the board than Okinawa.
  • 12% — that's where the model lands on Avispa Fukuoka taking it.
  • Avispa Fukuoka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Avispa Fukuoka, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 68%
Okinawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Okinawa
Matches Played 31 10
Wins 12 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.35 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.52 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2025 Emperors Cup
Avispa Fukuoka vs Okinawa
2:0
Jun 1, 2022 Emperors Cup
Avispa Fukuoka vs Okinawa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avispa Fukuoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanamori T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kitajima Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Okinawa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avispa Fukuoka 59 / 100
Okinawa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avispa Fukuoka Okinawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avispa Fukuoka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okinawa has conceded goals in 100% of their last 10 outings.

Avispa Fukuoka found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Okinawa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Avispa Fukuoka VS Okinawa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avispa Fukuoka

(Home)
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
29 Aug
Kyoto
2 : 1
Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 7

Okinawa

(Away)
26 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 1
Okinawa
19 Aug
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 2
Okinawa
16 Jan
Okinawa
1 : 6
Kyoto
11 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 0
Okinawa
25 May
Okinawa
4 : 1
Verspah Oita
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Avispa Fukuoka 3
Okinawa 0
Machida Zelvia 1
Iwate Grulla Morioka 3
FC Tokyo 2
Fuji University 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Kagoshima United 0
Sagan Tosu 1
Verspah Oita 0
Albirex Niigata 1
Kumamoto 4
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 4
Toin University 3
Kofu 5
International Pacific Univesity 1
Vissel Kobe 3
Toyama 2
Mito 1
Renofa Yamaguchi 2
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Tsukuba Univ. 0
Tokushima 2
Fukuyama City 1
Kashima Antlers 2
Niigata University 1
Ryukyu 1
Omiya Ardija 4
Gamba Osaka 4
Gifu 2
Oita Trinita 3
Kagura Shimane 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Okayama 0
Tochigi SC 1
Shimizu S-Pulse 8
Shunan Public University 0
Kyoto 3
Kochi United 1
Kawasaki Frontale 5
Sapporo University FC 0
Verdy 2
Blaublitz 1
Shonan Bellmare 3
Vertfee Yaita 0
Iwata 5
Matsumoto Yamaga 2
Nagoya Grampus 2
Doshisha Univ. 0
Chiba 1
Kanazawa 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
Kansai 1
Vegalta Sendai 2
Honda FC 1
Urawa Reds 1
Fukushima United 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Honda Lock 0
Yokohama FC 4
Sony Sendai 3
1/16-finals
Avispa Fukuoka 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
FC Tokyo 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Sagan Tosu 3
Kumamoto 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 2
Vissel Kobe 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Tokushima 1
Kashima Antlers 3
Omiya Ardija 0
Gamba Osaka 3
Oita Trinita 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 0
Tochigi SC 2
Shimizu S-Pulse 0
Kyoto 1
Kawasaki Frontale 0
Verdy 1
Shonan Bellmare 0
Iwata 1
Nagoya Grampus 1
Kanazawa 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Vegalta Sendai 2
Urawa Reds 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5
Yokohama FC 0
1/8-finals
Avispa Fukuoka 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Sagan Tosu 1
Kofu 3
Vissel Kobe 2
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Kashima Antlers 2
Gamba Osaka 0
Tochigi SC 1
Kyoto 2
Verdy 2
Iwata 1
Nagoya Grampus 1
Cerezo Osaka 2
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Quarter-finals
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Kofu 2
Vissel Kobe 0
Kashima Antlers 1
Kyoto 2
Verdy 1
Cerezo Osaka 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Semi-finals
Kofu 1
Kashima Antlers 0
Kyoto 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Final
Kofu 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1