Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avispa Fukuoka vs Okinawa

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2022 Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Kanamori T.
46'
Sub
Gibo Y. In: Todaka H.
Out: Gibo Y.
54' Event
Kitajima Y.

AI Match Summary

Avispa Fukuoka in this Emperors Cup 2022 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Avispa Fukuoka
6%
Draws
4%
Okinawa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avispa Fukuoka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avispa Fukuoka lately — more wins on the board than Okinawa.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Avispa Fukuoka taking it.
  • Avispa Fukuoka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Avispa Fukuoka, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 68%
Okinawa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Okinawa
Matches Played 32 8
Wins 15 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2025 Emperors Cup
Avispa Fukuoka vs Okinawa
2:0
Jun 1, 2022 Emperors Cup
Avispa Fukuoka vs Okinawa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avispa Fukuoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanamori T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kitajima Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Okinawa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avispa Fukuoka 95 / 100
Okinawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avispa Fukuoka Okinawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okinawa has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

Avispa Fukuoka found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Avispa Fukuoka stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avispa Fukuoka VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avispa Fukuoka

(Home)
19 Jul
Avispa Fukuoka
3 : 2
FC Osaka
11 Jul
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2
Chiba
23 May
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 7

Okinawa

(Away)
16 Jan
Okinawa
1 : 6
Kyoto
11 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 0
Okinawa
25 May
Okinawa
4 : 1
Verspah Oita
27 Jan
Okinawa
4 : 5
Nagoya Grampus
24 Jan
Urawa Reds
5 : 0
Okinawa
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Avispa Fukuoka3
Okinawa0
Machida Zelvia1
Iwate Grulla Morioka3
FC Tokyo2
Fuji University0
V-Varen Nagasaki1
Kagoshima United0
Sagan Tosu1
Verspah Oita0
Albirex Niigata1
Kumamoto4
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo4
Toin University3
Kofu5
International Pacific Univesity1
Vissel Kobe3
Toyama2
Mito1
Renofa Yamaguchi2
Kashiwa Reysol1
Tsukuba Univ.0
Tokushima2
Fukuyama City1
Kashima Antlers2
Niigata University1
Ryukyu1
Omiya Ardija4
Gamba Osaka4
Gifu2
Oita Trinita3
Kagura Shimane0
Yokohama F. Marinos3
Atletico Suzuka0
Okayama0
Tochigi SC1
Shimizu S-Pulse8
Shunan Public University0
Kyoto3
Kochi United1
Kawasaki Frontale5
Sapporo University FC0
Verdy2
Blaublitz1
Shonan Bellmare3
Vertfee Yaita0
Iwata5
Matsumoto Yamaga2
Nagoya Grampus2
Doshisha Univ.0
Chiba1
Kanazawa2
Cerezo Osaka3
Kansai1
Vegalta Sendai2
Honda FC1
Urawa Reds1
Fukushima United0
Montedio Yamagata1
Thespakusatsu Gunma3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Honda Lock0
Yokohama FC4
Sony Sendai3
1/16-finals
Avispa Fukuoka3
Iwate Grulla Morioka1
FC Tokyo2
V-Varen Nagasaki3
Sagan Tosu3
Kumamoto2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1
Kofu2
Vissel Kobe2
Renofa Yamaguchi1
Kashiwa Reysol2
Tokushima1
Kashima Antlers3
Omiya Ardija0
Gamba Osaka3
Oita Trinita1
Yokohama F. Marinos0
Tochigi SC2
Shimizu S-Pulse0
Kyoto1
Kawasaki Frontale0
Verdy1
Shonan Bellmare0
Iwata1
Nagoya Grampus1
Kanazawa0
Cerezo Osaka3
Vegalta Sendai2
Urawa Reds0
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima5
Yokohama FC0
1/8-finals
Avispa Fukuoka2
V-Varen Nagasaki0
Sagan Tosu1
Kofu3
Vissel Kobe2
Kashiwa Reysol1
Kashima Antlers2
Gamba Osaka0
Tochigi SC1
Kyoto2
Verdy2
Iwata1
Nagoya Grampus1
Cerezo Osaka2
Thespakusatsu Gunma0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
Quarter-finals
Avispa Fukuoka1
Kofu2
Vissel Kobe0
Kashima Antlers1
Kyoto2
Verdy1
Cerezo Osaka1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Semi-finals
Kofu1
Kashima Antlers0
Kyoto1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Final
Kofu2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1