Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Best Denki Stadium
Wed, Apr 29, 2026
3 - 2
05:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Nakano S.
10' Event
Higashi S.
Assist: Kato M.
18'
Nakajima Y.

AI Match Summary

Avispa Fukuoka in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avispa Fukuoka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Avispa Fukuoka
40%
Draws
29%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima lately — more wins on the board than Avispa Fukuoka.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 11%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:2
Apr 5, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 J.League Cup
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka
3:1
Jun 4, 2025 J.League Cup
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avispa Fukuoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Usui S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miki T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakano S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Higashi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avispa Fukuoka 30 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avispa Fukuoka scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Avispa Fukuoka remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avispa Fukuoka VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121