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Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka Logo

Avispa Fukuoka

0 - 1
FT
Vissel Kobe Logo

Vissel Kobe

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Yamawaki K.
24'
Yamawaki K.
38'
Oka T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vissel Kobe in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vissel Kobe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Avispa Fukuoka
15%
Draws
64%
Vissel Kobe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vissel Kobe lately — more wins on the board than Avispa Fukuoka.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 16%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Vissel Kobe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe
0:1
May 23, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avispa Fukuoka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Vissel Kobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Thuler M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avispa Fukuoka 31 / 100
Vissel Kobe 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avispa Fukuoka Vissel Kobe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vissel Kobe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avispa Fukuoka's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vissel Kobe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Solid form: Avispa Fukuoka remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avispa Fukuoka VS Vissel Kobe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avispa Fukuoka

(Home)
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Yokohama FC
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
Page 1 of 6

Vissel Kobe

(Away)
09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2
Vissel Kobe
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)