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Avondale FC vs Bentleigh Greens

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Avenger park, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ott G.
45' Event
Fornaroli B.
60' Event
Fornaroli B.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between Avondale FC and Bentleigh Greens finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avondale FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Avondale FC
6%
Draws
4%
Bentleigh Greens
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avondale FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bentleigh Greens haven't matched Avondale FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Avondale FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Avondale FC Clean Sheet 68%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avondale FC Bentleigh Greens
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 3 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Bentleigh Greens
4:0
Feb 20, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Avondale FC
2:0
Aug 19, 2023 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Bentleigh Greens
2:1
May 12, 2023 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Avondale FC
0:4
May 21, 2022 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Avondale FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avondale FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fornaroli B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ott G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avondale FC 95 / 100
Bentleigh Greens 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avondale FC Bentleigh Greens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avondale FC scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Bentleigh Greens let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Bentleigh Greens registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avondale FC VS Bentleigh Greens
3 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avondale FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Avondale FC
1 : 1
St Albans
10 Jul
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 0
Avondale FC
04 Jul
Avondale FC
2 : 3
Preston Lions
26 Jun
Dandenong City SC
3 : 1
Avondale FC
20 Jun
Avondale FC
11 : 0
Dandenong Thunder
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Bentleigh Greens

(Away)
24 Jul
Preston Lions
1 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
17 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
2 : 1
Dandenong City SC
11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
03 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 1
Altona Magic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons22145345:2047
2Hume City22124642:2840
3Preston Lions21133531:1636
4Avondale FC21112854:2835
5South Melbourne22112933:3335
6Heidelberg Utd2297633:2634
7George Cross22710528:2831
8Melbourne City U212086637:2330
9St Albans2276927:3927
10Dandenong City SC2276927:2923
11Altona Magic21651024:3623
12Bentleigh Greens22541320:4619
13Dandenong Thunder21431423:4615
14Green Gully22351417:4314
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)