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Avondale United vs Cobh Wanderers Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Geasley S.
12' Event
Stapleton I.
37'

AI Match Summary

Cobh Wanderers in this FAI Cup 2015 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Avondale United
15%
Draws
28%
Cobh Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avondale United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Avondale United have won more games recently than Cobh Wanderers.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Avondale United taking it.
  • Avondale United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cobh Wanderers, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Avondale United Clean Sheet 10%
Cobh Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avondale United Cobh Wanderers
Matches Played 25 12
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.36 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2015 FAI Cup
Avondale United vs Cobh Wanderers
0:3
May 31, 2015 FAI Cup
Cobh Wanderers vs Avondale United
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avondale United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cobh Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Geasley S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stapleton I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avondale United 83 / 100
Cobh Wanderers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avondale United Cobh Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avondale United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Avondale United scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Cobh Wanderers has conceded goals in 67% of their last 12 outings.

Difficult form: Cobh Wanderers registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avondale United VS Cobh Wanderers
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avondale United

(Home)
02 Sept
Avondale United
1 : 0
Bandon
21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0
Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1
Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4
Avondale United
21 Apr
Avondale United
0 : 2
Pike Rovers
Page 1 of 5

Cobh Wanderers

(Away)
01 Feb
Cobh Wanderers
0 : 7
Cobh Ramblers
21 Jul
Sligo Rovers
3 : 0
Cobh Wanderers
18 May
College Corinthians
4 : 5
Cobh Wanderers
06 Feb
Ringmahon Rangers
2 : 0
Cobh Wanderers
09 Aug
Cobh Wanderers
0 : 1
Limerick
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Firhouse 1
Glenville 0
TBD -
Bohemians -
Tolka -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Dunboyne 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Edenderry Town -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
North End United 4
University College Cork 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Cobh Wanderers 2
Clonmel Celtic 0
St. Marys 0
Avondale United 1
Crumlin Utd 1
College Corinthians 0
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Sheriff YC -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Liffey Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Cockhill 1
Casement Celtic 0
Arklow 2
St Mochta's 5
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
1/16-finals
Bray 3
Limerick 1
Firhouse 1
Bohemians 4
Tolka 2
Waterford 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City 3
Edenderry Town 0
Cabinteely 1
Drogheda 3
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 2
Dundalk 5
Shelbourne 0
North End United 0
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 6
Avondale United 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin 1
Liffey Wanderers 2
Athlone 3
Cockhill 3
St Mochta's 0
Finn Harps 1
Longford 2
1/8-finals
Bray 1
Bohemians 0
Tolka 0
Killester Donnycarney 4
Derry City 3
Drogheda 0
St. Patricks 0
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 3
Athlone 2
Cockhill 0
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Bray 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Derry City 1
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 0
Sheriff YC 1
Longford 3
Semi-finals
Bray 0
Cork City 1
Dundalk 2
Longford 0
Final
Cork City 0
Dundalk 1