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Avondale United vs Sheriff YC

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2013
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Rock J.
(Penalty)
85' Event
Rock J.
90' Event
McCarthy G.

AI Match Summary

Sheriff YC in this FAI Cup 2013 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Avondale United
15%
Draws
28%
Sheriff YC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avondale United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avondale United lately — more wins on the board than Sheriff YC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Avondale United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sheriff YC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Avondale United Clean Sheet 14%
Sheriff YC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avondale United Sheriff YC
Matches Played 25 16
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.36 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2013 FAI Cup
Avondale United vs Sheriff YC
1:2
Apr 1, 2012 FAI Cup
Avondale United vs Sheriff YC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avondale United Compare

Top Goalscorer McCarthy G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sheriff YC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rock J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avondale United 35 / 100
Sheriff YC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avondale United Sheriff YC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff YC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheriff YC let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Avondale United scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Sheriff YC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Avondale United VS Sheriff YC
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avondale United

(Home)
02 Sept
Avondale United
1 : 0
Bandon
21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0
Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1
Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4
Avondale United
21 Apr
Avondale United
0 : 2
Pike Rovers
Page 1 of 5

Sheriff YC

(Away)
25 May
St. Michaels
1 : 0
Sheriff YC
13 Aug
Bluebell Utd
3 : 0
Sheriff YC
29 Apr
Greystones United
0 : 3
Sheriff YC
22 May
Janesboro
2 : 1
Sheriff YC
11 Sept
Longford
3 : 1
Sheriff YC
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Pike Rovers 3
Everton AFC 1
TBD -
Longford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Carew Park 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandon -
Tolka 2
Bangor Celtic 1
Newbridge Town 1
College Corinthians 2
Limerick -
TBD -
Beggsboro 2
Glenville 3
Phoenix 1
St. Marys 0
TBD -
Dundalk -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Kilbarrack Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Blarney Utd 3
Parkvilla 2
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Sheriff YC 3
Leixlip United 1
TBD -
Avondale United -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
1/16-finals
Drogheda 3
Bohemians 0
Pike Rovers 0
Longford 4
Cobh Ramblers 4
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shelbourne 3
Bandon 0
Tolka 2
College Corinthians 5
Limerick 3
Glenville 0
Phoenix 0
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 0
Kilbarrack Utd 1
Cork City 3
Bluebell Utd 5
Athlone 4
Blarney Utd 0
Derry City 4
St. Patricks 4
UC Dublin 0
Mervue United 0
Bray 2
Sheriff YC 2
Avondale United 1
Salthill 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
1/8-finals
Drogheda 3
Longford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Finn Harps 5
Shelbourne 1
College Corinthians 0
Limerick 3
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Bluebell Utd 1
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 3
Bray 0
Sheriff YC 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 3
Finn Harps 1
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Semi-finals
Drogheda 1
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Shamrock Rovers 0
Final
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 3