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Avranches vs Bayonne Prediction & H2H Stats

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National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Rene Fenouillere, Avranches
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Match Events

30' Event
Giacomini A.
37' Event
Giacomini A.

AI Match Summary

Bayonne in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayonne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Avranches
30%
Draws
39%
Bayonne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Avranches haven't matched Bayonne's recent run of results.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Avranches Clean Sheet 68%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Bayonne
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Bayonne
0:2
Dec 12, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Avranches
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avranches Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacomini A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 41 / 100
Bayonne 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Bayonne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avranches scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Bayonne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Avranches has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS Bayonne
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
Page 1 of 6

Bayonne

(Away)
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)