Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group A Stade Rene Fenouillere

Bayonne

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Avranches play Bayonne in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Avranches averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Bayonne averaged 1.37 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Avranches won 0, Bayonne won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Avranches and 1.38 for Bayonne. This points to a Bayonne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Avranches

20%

Draws

48%

Bayonne

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Avranches picked up more points recently compared to Bayonne.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Avranches Clean Sheet 17%

Bayonne Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Avranches	Bayonne
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	13	17
Draws	9	3
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.55	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.48	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National 2 - Group A

Avranches vs Bayonne

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Dec 12, 2025 National 2 - Group A

Bayonne vs Avranches

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avranches Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacomini A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 32 / 100

Bayonne 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Avranches Bayonne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bayonne or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Avranches attacking → ← attacking Bayonne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Bayonne let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Avranches went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bayonne lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 54

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche Vendee	30	19	8	3	61:27	65
2	Bordeaux	30	19	5	6	51:28	62
3	Bayonne	30	17	4	9	42:27	55
4	Saint-Malo	30	13	11	6	43:29	50
5	Les Herbiers	30	14	7	9	45:33	49
6	Angouleme CFC	30	11	10	9	33:36	43
7	Dinan	30	12	5	13	44:45	41
8	Avranches	30	10	10	10	46:41	40
9	Chauray	30	11	5	14	35:38	38
10	St. Colomban Locmine	30	9	10	11	31:34	37
11	Montlouis	30	7	10	13	42:50	31
12	Lorient II	30	9	5	16	38:51	31
13	Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant	30	8	6	16	25:47	30
14	Granville	30	6	11	13	32:41	29
15	Saumur Olympique	30	6	10	14	37:56	28
16	Stade Poitevin	30	5	11	14	21:43	25