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Avranches vs Lucon

France France

National 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Lekhal V.
85'
Boateng C.
85'
Boateng C.

AI Match Summary

Avranches in this National 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avranches.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Avranches
35%
Draws
9%
Lucon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avranches lately — more wins on the board than Lucon.
  • Win probability leans Avranches's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Avranches Clean Sheet 68%
Lucon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Lucon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2016 Ligue 3
Avranches vs Lucon
1:0
Oct 30, 2015 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Avranches
2:2
May 22, 2015 Ligue 3
Avranches vs Lucon
2:1
Aug 8, 2014 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Avranches
0:0
Mar 22, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Lucon vs Avranches
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekhal V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lucon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 95 / 100
Lucon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Lucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucon has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Avranches scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Avranches remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
22 Aug
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 3
Avranches
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
Page 1 of 7

Lucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 34 15 13 6 35:19 58
2 Orleans 34 14 14 6 50:37 56
3 Amiens SC 34 14 13 7 44:35 55
4 Athletico Marseille 34 15 9 10 50:43 54
5 Chateauroux 34 14 10 10 52:45 52
6 Dunkerque 34 12 11 11 42:42 47
7 Avranches 34 10 16 8 44:36 46
8 Boulogne 34 12 10 12 50:45 46
9 Chambly 34 11 11 12 46:40 44
10 Beziers 34 11 11 12 35:38 44
11 Lucon 34 11 11 12 45:50 44
12 Sedan 34 10 13 11 31:34 43
13 Borgo 34 10 13 11 29:33 43
14 Belfort 34 9 14 11 26:32 41
15 Les Herbiers 34 8 15 11 44:51 39
16 Colmar 34 10 9 15 39:46 37
17 Epinal 34 6 12 16 39:53 30
18 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 4 15 15 22:44 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)