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Avranches vs Niort

France France

National 2 - Group B 2024/2025 Stade Rene Fenouillere, Avranches
Sat, Mar 15, 2025
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avranches host Niort in the National 2 - Group B 2024/2025. Avranches are expected to control this from the start. Avranches have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Niort's 0 scored and 3 conceded. Past meetings favor Niort slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.13) point toward Avranches. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Avranches
25%
Draws
35%
Niort
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Avranches carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Avranches a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Avranches Clean Sheet 20%
Niort Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Niort
Matches Played 33 1
Wins 11 0
Draws 12 0
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 1.61 0
Goals Conceded 1.45 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs Niort
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Niort vs Avranches
0:0
May 18, 2024 Ligue 3
Avranches vs Niort
1:3
Aug 11, 2023 Ligue 3
Niort vs Avranches
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 49 / 100
Niort 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Niort

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niort has conceded goals in 100% of their last 1 outings.

Attacking prowess: Avranches scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Avranches remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
22 Aug
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 3
Avranches
Page 1 of 7

Niort

(Away)
16 Nov
Niort
0 : 3
Orleans

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stade Briochin 30 18 5 7 49:34 59
2 Les Herbiers 30 16 7 7 53:24 55
3 Saint-Malo 30 14 11 5 43:27 53
4 Bordeaux 30 14 6 10 38:32 48
5 La Roche Vendee 30 13 9 8 42:27 48
6 Blois Foot 41 30 13 8 9 46:36 47
7 St. Colomban Locmine 30 13 7 10 39:33 46
8 Bourges 18 30 10 11 9 46:43 41
9 Avranches 30 11 8 11 46:43 41
10 Dinan 30 10 8 12 38:49 38
11 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 9 10 11 36:43 37
12 Saint-Pryve 30 9 9 12 40:37 36
13 Stade Poitevin 30 8 9 13 36:48 33
14 Granville 30 8 8 14 36:47 32
15 Saumur Olympique 30 7 7 16 29:54 28
16 Le Poire Sur Vie 30 3 5 22 18:58 14
Promotion - National 2025/2026 (Main)