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Avranches vs Pontivy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B Stade Rene Fenouillere, Avranches
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avranches host Pontivy in the National 1 - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Avranches at 1.59 goals for, 1.41 against; Pontivy at 1.21 for, 1.59 against. Past meetings favor Avranches slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2014, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.56 - 0.75) back Avranches to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Avranches
35%
Draws
15%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avranches lately — more wins on the board than Pontivy.
  • Avranches are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Avranches Clean Sheet 20%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Pontivy
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Avranches
1:2
Sep 21, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs Pontivy
3:0
Apr 27, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs Pontivy
0:3
Jan 5, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Avranches
3:2
Mar 24, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Avranches
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 85 / 100
Pontivy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Pontivy has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Avranches remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS Pontivy
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
30 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 3
Avranches
17 Oct
Avranches
2 : 0
Tarbes
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
Page 1 of 7

Pontivy

(Away)
31 Oct
Pontivy
2 : 2
Dinan
17 Oct
Les Herbiers
0 : 0
Pontivy
03 Oct
Pontivy
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)