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Avranches vs Stade Briochin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B Stade Rene Fenouillere, Avranches
Sat, Dec 5, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avranches host Stade Briochin in the National 1 - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Avranches have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Stade Briochin's 1.17 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Avranches slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2025, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.25 - 0.88) back Avranches to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Avranches
30%
Draws
23%
Stade Briochin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avranches come out ahead of Stade Briochin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Avranches a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Avranches Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Stade Briochin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 13
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Stade Briochin vs Avranches
3:2
Jan 31, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs Stade Briochin
1:1
Feb 3, 2023 Ligue 3
Avranches vs Stade Briochin
1:0
Aug 26, 2022 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Avranches
0:1
Jul 15, 2022 Club Friendly
Avranches vs Stade Briochin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 76 / 100
Stade Briochin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Stade Briochin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avranches scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Stade Briochin conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Avranches went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS Stade Briochin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
30 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 3
Avranches
17 Oct
Avranches
2 : 0
Tarbes
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
Page 1 of 6

Stade Briochin

(Away)
30 Oct
Stade Briochin
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
17 Oct
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
1 : 1
Stade Briochin
02 Oct
Stade Briochin
1 : 3
Lorient II
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2
Granville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 9 7 2 0 14:5 23
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 9 3 3 3 10:8 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)