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Avrig vs Sebis Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 2018/2019 game between Avrig and Sebis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sebis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Avrig
15%
Draws
42%
Sebis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avrig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sebis haven't matched Avrig's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Avrig Clean Sheet 10%
Sebis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avrig Sebis
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Avrig vs Sebis
0:1
Nov 9, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sebis vs Avrig
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avrig 29 / 100
Sebis 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avrig Sebis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avrig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sebis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Avrig's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sebis's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Avrig VS Sebis
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
5.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avrig

(Home)
02 Aug
Avrig
1 : 4
Metalurgistul Cugir
11 Aug
Avrig
2 : 7
FC Brasov
24 May
CSC Dumbravita
5 : 0
Avrig
18 May
Avrig
1 : 3
Soimii Lipova
11 May
Ocna Mures
1 : 3
Avrig
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Sebis

(Away)
07 Mar
Flacara Horezu
3 : 0
Sebis
29 Nov
FC U Craiova
5 : 0
Sebis
22 Nov
Sebis
4 : 2
CSO Filiasi
16 Nov
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
2 : 0
Sebis
08 Nov
Sebis
1 : 5
Soimii Lipova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Resita 30 19 5 6 60:27 62
2 Soimii Lipova 30 18 6 6 70:42 60
3 CSC Dumbravita 30 18 4 8 60:43 58
4 Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei 30 17 2 11 56:48 53
5 Metalurgistul Cugir 30 15 8 7 59:46 53
6 Sebis 30 13 11 6 57:44 50
7 Chisineu Cris 30 13 10 7 55:31 49
8 Avrig 30 13 4 13 38:43 43
9 Corvinul Hunedoara 30 12 6 12 53:51 42
10 Industria Galda 30 13 2 15 50:43 41
11 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 30 12 3 15 57:52 39
12 Unirea Alba-Iulia 30 9 11 10 37:42 38
13 CSM Deva 30 10 5 15 36:49 35
14 Giarmata 30 8 5 17 45:64 29
15 CS Municipal Lugoj 30 2 6 22 29:77 12
16 Ocna Mures 30 2 4 24 28:88 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2019/2020 (Main)