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Avro vs Leek Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Dyson T.
14' Event
Weir L.
23' Event
Campbell H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Avro
20%
Draws
52%
Leek Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avro lately — more wins on the board than Leek Town.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Leek Town taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Avro Clean Sheet 10%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avro Leek Town
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Avro vs Leek Town
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyson T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salt H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Leek Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Weir L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avro 26 / 100
Leek Town 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avro Leek Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leek Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Avro scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Leek Town has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Avro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avro VS Leek Town
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avro

(Home)
21 Oct
Avro
3 : 2
Ashton United
17 Oct
Ilkeston
2 : 0
Avro
13 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Avro
10 Oct
Avro
0 : 1
Guiseley
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

Leek Town

(Away)
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2
Leek Town
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1
Hyde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 15 10 4 1 33:13 34
2 Cleethorpes 14 9 3 2 31:9 30
3 Guiseley 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Avro 14 9 1 4 37:27 28
5 Gainsborough 13 8 1 4 29:16 25
6 Workington 15 7 3 5 26:25 24
7 Warrington Town 13 6 5 2 24:19 23
8 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
9 Curzon Ashton 13 7 1 5 24:17 22
10 Alfreton 15 6 2 7 21:17 20
11 Lancaster 15 6 2 7 20:28 20
12 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
13 Whitby 14 6 1 7 20:33 19
14 Hyde 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
15 Leek Town 13 3 5 5 26:26 14
16 Ashton United 14 3 5 6 17:18 14
17 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
18 AFC Emley 14 3 5 6 15:26 14
19 Stockton 15 3 3 9 18:28 12
20 Bamber Bridge 14 2 4 8 17:34 10
21 Ilkeston 15 3 1 11 10:34 10
22 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
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