Sport Picks
Match Events
55'
55'
Visser B.
61'
61'
Michels J.
78'
78'
van Gerven N.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2023/2024 game between AWC and Gemert finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gemert.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
35%
57%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gemert
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gemert come out ahead of AWC on wins alone.
- Model gives Gemert a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Gemert here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AWC Clean Sheet 12%
Gemert Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AWC | Gemert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2025 Club Friendly
AWC vs Gemert
1:3
Feb 4, 2024 Derde Divisie
AWC vs Gemert
1:2
Sep 10, 2023 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs AWC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AWC Compare
Top Goalscorer Visser B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Gemert Compare
Top Goalscorer Michels J.
1 Goals Assists Leader van Gerven N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AWC 10 / 100
Gemert 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AWC Gemert
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gemert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gemert let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.
AWC found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).
AWC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Gemert
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AWC
(Home) 03 Sept
AWC
0 : 2 ASWH
26 Jun
AWC
1 : 3 Gemert
01 Jun
AWC
0 : 2 Smitshoek
29 May
Smitshoek
1 : 1 AWC
25 May
AWC
1 : 4 Meerssen
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
AWC
0 : 2 ASWH
26 Jun
AWC
1 : 3 Gemert
01 Jun
AWC
0 : 2 Smitshoek
25 May
AWC
1 : 4 Meerssen
12 May
AWC
0 : 0 HV & CV Quick
Page 1 of 4
Gemert
(Away) 23 Aug
Gemert
2 : 2 GOES
15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2 Gemert
07 Jul
Gemert
1 : 1 Helmond Sport
23 May
GOES
3 : 3 Gemert
16 May
Gemert
6 : 1 SteDoCo
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2 Gemert
23 May
GOES
3 : 3 Gemert
25 Apr
VV Noordwijk
4 : 1 Gemert
12 Apr
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
21 Mar
VV Zwaluwen
2 : 0 Gemert
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 92:53 | 66 |
| 2 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 72:43 | 63 |
| 3 | Genemuiden | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 68:40 | 59 |
| 4 | USV Hercules | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 63:43 | 57 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 81:66 | 56 |
| 6 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62:47 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 62:45 | 52 |
| 8 | HSC '21 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:53 | 52 |
| 9 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 61:42 | 48 |
| 10 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 60:62 | 48 |
| 11 | Eemdijk | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:62 | 48 |
| 12 | VVSB | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 62:67 | 47 |
| 13 | DEM | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 49:54 | 47 |
| 14 | Urk | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:73 | 45 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 56:64 | 44 |
| 16 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 45:87 | 33 |
| 17 | Kampong | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44:70 | 25 |
| 18 | ODIN '59 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 29:108 | 14 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barendrecht | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 76:37 | 71 |
| 2 | SteDoCo | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 70:32 | 69 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67:35 | 67 |
| 4 | TEC | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 67:33 | 61 |
| 5 | Sportlust | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 56:36 | 61 |
| 6 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 64:62 | 58 |
| 7 | Meerssen | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 71:52 | 56 |
| 8 | TOGB | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 47:43 | 50 |
| 9 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 73:53 | 47 |
| 10 | UNA | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 50:46 | 47 |
| 11 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 62:64 | 47 |
| 12 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 45:48 | 47 |
| 13 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 55:70 | 36 |
| 14 | FC OSS '20 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 47:70 | 36 |
| 15 | AWC | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 28:66 | 30 |
| 16 | GVV Unitas | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 40:64 | 29 |
| 17 | Groene Ster | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 29:79 | 26 |
| 18 | Baronie | 34 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 34:91 | 20 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
