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Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Sporting Liesti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Axiopolis Cernavoda host Sporting Liesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 4. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Axiopolis Cernavoda have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Sporting Liesti's 2.61 scored and 1.85 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.00 - 2.13) back Sporting Liesti to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Axiopolis Cernavoda
15%
Draws
34%
Sporting Liesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Axiopolis Cernavoda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Liesti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sporting Liesti a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Axiopolis Cernavoda Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Axiopolis Cernavoda Sporting Liesti
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 12 21
Draws 5 1
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.86 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Axiopolis Cernavoda 26 / 100
Sporting Liesti 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Axiopolis Cernavoda Sporting Liesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Axiopolis Cernavoda scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Sporting Liesti conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Axiopolis Cernavoda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Liesti lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Axiopolis Cernavoda VS Sporting Liesti
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Axiopolis Cernavoda

(Home)
03 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
26 Sept
Unirea Branistea
3 : 4
Axiopolis Cernavoda
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
2 : 3
Agricola Borcea
11 Sept
Otelul 2
0 : 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Liesti

(Away)
03 Oct
Agricola Borcea
5 : 3
Sporting Liesti
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 7 6 0 1 19:9 18
2 Agigea 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
3 Inainte Modelu 7 4 1 2 15:11 13
4 Axiopolis Cernavoda 7 4 1 2 15:12 13
5 Sporting Liesti 7 4 0 3 24:16 12
6 Progresul Fundulea 7 4 0 3 16:12 12
7 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 7 4 0 3 13:14 12
8 Calarasi 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
9 Unirea Branistea 7 3 0 4 13:12 9
10 Gloria Baneasa 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
11 Portul Constanta 7 1 0 6 11:18 3
12 Otelul 2 7 1 0 6 6:20 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)