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Ayacucho vs Binacional

Peru Peru

Liga 1 2025 Estadio Ciudad de Cumana, Ayacucho
Fri, Aug 22, 2025
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayacucho host Binacional in the Liga 1 2025. This one's hard to separate. Ayacucho have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Binacional's 0.86 scored and 2.46 conceded. Head-to-head, Ayacucho have won 3 to Binacional's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 7:1. xG projections (2.00 - 1.00) back Ayacucho to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ayacucho
15%
Draws
0%
Binacional
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayacucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayacucho lately — more wins on the board than Binacional.
  • Model gives Ayacucho a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 68%
Binacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayacucho Binacional
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Binacional
7:1
May 9, 2026 Liga 2
Binacional vs Ayacucho
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 Liga 1
Ayacucho vs Binacional
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Liga 1
Binacional vs Ayacucho
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Binacional
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayacucho 95 / 100
Binacional 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayacucho Binacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayacucho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Binacional has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Binacional's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ayacucho stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayacucho VS Binacional
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayacucho

(Home)
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1
Ayacucho
09 Aug
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Estudiantil CNI
02 Aug
Tacna Heroica
2 : 0
Ayacucho
26 Jul
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Santos FC
Page 1 of 6

Binacional

(Away)
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
07 Aug
Binacional
1 : 8
Union Minas
02 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
9 : 0
Binacional
26 Jul
Binacional
0 : 3
Tacna Heroica
19 Jul
Santos FC
3 : 1
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Deportes 17 12 4 1 29:13 40
2 Cusco 17 11 3 3 29:15 36
3 Sporting Cristal 17 9 4 4 29:13 31
4 A. Lima 17 9 4 4 30:19 31
5 Cienciano 17 8 3 6 25:21 27
6 Los Chankas 17 9 0 8 21:28 27
7 Comerciantes Unidos 17 7 5 5 20:21 26
8 FBC Melgar 17 6 7 4 24:17 25
9 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 6 7 4 20:21 25
10 AD Tarma 17 7 4 6 19:20 25
11 Alianza Atl. 17 6 5 6 15:12 23
12 Sport Huancayo 17 5 3 9 28:28 18
13 Alianza Huanuco 17 5 2 10 23:33 17
14 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 19:24 16
15 Sport Boys 17 4 4 9 14:25 16
16 Juan Pablo II 17 3 5 9 13:23 14
17 Ayacucho 17 4 2 11 16:29 14
18 Cajamarca 17 3 4 10 16:28 13
19 Binacional 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 1 2025 (Play Offs)