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Ayacucho vs Comerciantes FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Lojas S.
43'
Arevalo F.
52'
Tamariz A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ayacucho
20%
Draws
38%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayacucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Comerciantes FC lately — more wins on the board than Ayacucho.
  • Win probability leans Ayacucho's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 20%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayacucho Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Comerciantes FC
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Ayacucho
1:1
Aug 27, 2024 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Comerciantes FC
1:0
Jul 14, 2024 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Comerciantes FC
0:2
May 25, 2024 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Ayacucho
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayacucho 42 / 100
Comerciantes FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayacucho Comerciantes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Ayacucho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ayacucho found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (27 games).

Comerciantes FC let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayacucho VS Comerciantes FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba861114:319
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Pirata851213:716
4Carlos Mannucci842210:714
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC844011:516
2Tacna Heroica83328:712
3Alianza Huanuco83239:711
4Sport Huancayo 283237:811
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho82425:510
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126