Sport Picks
Ayacucho vs Comerciantes Unidos
Peru
Liga 1 2025 Estadio Ciudad de Cumana 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Ayacucho host Comerciantes Unidos in the Liga 1 2025. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Comerciantes Unidos have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Ayacucho have conceded 0.75 and scored 0.75. Head-to-head, Ayacucho have won 2 to Comerciantes Unidos's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.81 - 0.69) back Comerciantes Unidos to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Comerciantes Unidos has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ayacucho.
- Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Ayacucho.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 1 2025 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ayacucho | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ayacucho Compare
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ayacucho scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Comerciantes Unidos let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Ayacucho went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Comerciantes Unidos lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 29:13 | 40 |
| 2 | Cusco | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 29:15 | 36 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 31 |
| 4 | A. Lima | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Los Chankas | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 21:28 | 27 |
| 7 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | 26 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:21 | 25 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | 25 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:12 | 23 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28:28 | 18 |
| 13 | Alianza Huanuco | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23:33 | 17 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | 16 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14:25 | 16 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16:29 | 14 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |