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Ayamonte vs AD Cartaya

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Soler A.
37' Event
Chacon P.
68' Event
Ceballos J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 game between Ayamonte and AD Cartaya finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayamonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ayamonte
6%
Draws
4%
AD Cartaya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ayamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Cartaya come out ahead of Ayamonte on wins alone.
  • Ayamonte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 20%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayamonte AD Cartaya
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs AD Cartaya
3:0
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Ayamonte
3:0
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Ayamonte
1:1
Sep 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs AD Cartaya
0:1
Feb 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Ayamonte
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Soler A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chacon P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

AD Cartaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayamonte 85 / 100
AD Cartaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayamonte AD Cartaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ayamonte scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: AD Cartaya conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ayamonte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Cartaya
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayamonte

(Home)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 7

AD Cartaya

(Away)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)