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Ayamonte vs Puente Genil

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Guichard S.
52' Event
Vegas S.
60' Event
Chacon P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 game between Ayamonte and Puente Genil finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puente Genil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ayamonte
30%
Draws
33%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Puente Genil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ayamonte a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Puente Genil here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 68%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayamonte Puente Genil
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Puente Genil
1:2
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs Ayamonte
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Puente Genil
1:4
Oct 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs Ayamonte
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Puente Genil Compare

Top Goalscorer Guichard S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vegas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayamonte 59 / 100
Puente Genil 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayamonte Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayamonte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ayamonte scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Puente Genil conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Ayamonte has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Puente Genil
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayamonte

(Home)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
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Puente Genil

(Away)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
19 Apr
Jaen
2 : 1
Puente Genil
12 Apr
Puente Genil
1 : 1
Deportiva Minera
05 Apr
Xerez CD
0 : 1
Puente Genil
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)