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Ayeyawady vs Ispe

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Maung Win Pyae

AI Match Summary

Ispe in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ispe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ayeyawady
15%
Draws
48%
Ispe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ispe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ayeyawady have won more games recently than Ispe.
  • Win probability leans Ayeyawady's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ispe have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 68%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayeyawady Ispe
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.36 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Ispe
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Ayeyawady
3:0
Jan 13, 2025 National League
Ayeyawady vs Ispe
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Ayeyawady
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 National League
Ispe vs Ayeyawady
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayeyawady Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Maung Win Pyae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayeyawady 95 / 100
Ispe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayeyawady Ispe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayeyawady Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayeyawady scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Ispe conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ayeyawady remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayeyawady VS Ispe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayeyawady

(Home)
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
26 Feb
Thitsar Arman
0 : 0
Ayeyawady
19 Feb
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Rakhine United
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Ispe

(Away)
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
25 Feb
Ispe
1 : 6
Shan United
15 Feb
Yarmanya United
1 : 2
Ispe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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