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Ayia Napa vs Alki Oroklini

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2022/2023
Sat, Apr 1, 2023
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayia Napa host Alki Oroklini in the Division 2 2022/2023. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Ayia Napa at 1.13 goals for, 1 against; Alki Oroklini at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Ayia Napa have won 1 to Alki Oroklini's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.00, favoring Ayia Napa. Ayia Napa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ayia Napa
40%
Draws
29%
Alki Oroklini
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayia Napa lately — more wins on the board than Alki Oroklini.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ayia Napa Clean Sheet 20%
Alki Oroklini Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayia Napa Alki Oroklini
Matches Played 42 18
Wins 16 3
Draws 10 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Alki Oroklini
0:0
Feb 4, 2023 Division 2
Alki Oroklini vs Ayia Napa
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 Division 2
Alki Oroklini vs Ayia Napa
2:0
Aug 27, 2022 Club Friendly
Ayia Napa vs Alki Oroklini
0:2
May 7, 2022 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Alki Oroklini
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayia Napa 32 / 100
Alki Oroklini 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayia Napa Alki Oroklini

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alki Oroklini lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ayia Napa scored in 62% of their last 42 outings.

Defensive concern: Alki Oroklini conceded in 72% of 18 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ayia Napa VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%