Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2020/2021

Aylesbury United

Sat, Oct 17, 2020

3 - 2

02:00 PM

Tilbury

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aylesbury United in this FA Trophy 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aylesbury United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Aylesbury United

17%

Draws

70%

Tilbury

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tilbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Tilbury have won more games recently than Aylesbury United.
Tilbury are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Cup games in FA Trophy 2020/2021 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Aylesbury United Clean Sheet 16%

Tilbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aylesbury United	Tilbury
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	6	9
Draws	5	1
Losses	18	19
Goals Scored	0.5	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2020 FA Trophy

Aylesbury United vs Tilbury

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Sep 2, 2017 FA Cup

Tilbury vs Aylesbury United

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aylesbury United 15 / 100

Tilbury 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aylesbury United Tilbury

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tilbury has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Aylesbury United found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aylesbury United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aylesbury United VS Tilbury

0.5 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13

50% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals

United of Manchester-

TBD-

Stocksbridge-

TBD-

Marske United-

Atherton Collieries-

TBD-

City Of Liverpool-

TBD-

Cleethorpes-

Hyde-

TBD-

Prescot Cables-

TBD-

Frickley-

Warrington Town-

TBD-

Lancaster-

Kendal-

TBD-

Brighouse Town-

TBD-

Buxton-

Ashton United-

TBD-

Dunston-

TBD-

Clitheroe-

Radcliffe-

TBD-

Bamber Bridge-

Scarborough Athletic-

TBD-

Witton Albion-

Pickering Town-

TBD-

Trafford-

Sheffield FC-

TBD-

Runcorn Linnets-

Tadcaster Albion1

Marine3

TBD-

Mossley AFC-

TBD-

Stalybridge-

Droylsden-

TBD-

Glossop North End-

Pontefract Collieries-

TBD-

Workington-

South Shields-

TBD-

Widnes FC-

TBD-

Colne-

Morpeth-

TBD-

Whitby-

Newcastle Town-

TBD-

Belper Town-

TBD-

Nuneaton-

Evesham2

Biggleswade FC1

TBD-

Carlton Town-

Histon-

TBD-

Leek Town-

Redditch-

TBD-

Nantwich-

Tamworth-

TBD-

Banbury-

Bromsgrove-

TBD-

FC Wisbech Town-

TBD-

Coleshill Town-

AFC Rushden & Diamonds-

TBD-

Ilkeston-

TBD-

Kempston-

Yaxley-

TBD-

Chasetown-

TBD-

Grantham Town-

Loughborough Dynamo-

TBD-

Market Drayton0

Bury Town1

Spalding United-

TBD-

Bedford-

Rushall-

TBD-

Barwell-

Mickleover-

TBD-

Sutton Coldfield Town-

TBD-

Dereham-

Coalville Town-

TBD-

Matlock-

Peterborough Sports-

TBD-

Gainsborough-

Stourbridge-

TBD-

Stamford-

TBD-

Lincoln Utd.-

Basford Utd.-

TBD-

Alvechurch-

Soham0

Corby3

TBD-

Halesowen-

TBD-

Hednesford-

Bedworth United-

TBD-

Neots-

Worksop-

TBD-

Ossett United0

Ramsbottom Utd2

St Ives Town-

TBD-

Stratford-

TBD-

Daventry-

TBD-

Cambridge City2

Kidsgrove Athletic3

Maldon & Tiptree-

TBD-

Grays-

TBD-

Kingstonian-

Hastings-

TBD-

Romania-

Hullbridge0

Ashford Town1

TBD-

Whitstable Town-

Leiston-

TBD-

Worthing FC-

Burgess Hill-

TBD-

Ware-

TBD-

Harrow Borough-

Phoenix Sports-

TBD-

Marlow-

Chertsey Town-

TBD-

Berkhamsted Town-

Needham Market-

TBD-

Chipstead-

TBD-

South Park0

Three Bridges1

Bowers & Pitsea-

TBD-

Hornchurch-

Royston Town-

TBD-

Hythe3

Chalfont St Peter0

TBD-

Ashford United-

East Thurrock Utd-

TBD-

Cheshunt-

Faversham-

TBD-

Hertford Town-

TBD-

Haringey Borough-

Walton Casuals-

TBD-

Folkestone-

Merstham-

TBD-

Carshalton-

Bedfont Sports-

TBD-

Coggeshall Town-

TBD-

Wingate & Finchley-

Kings Langley-

TBD-

Brightlingsea-

Lowestoft-

TBD-

Lewes-

Biggleswade Town-

TBD-

Northwood2

Basildon1

TBD-

Heybridge-

FC Witham Town0

Hanwell Town2

TBD-

Aveley-

TBD-

Beaconsfield Town-

Uxbridge-

TBD-

Waltham Abbey3

Staines2

TBD-

Hayes & Yeading-

Enfield Town-

TBD-

Ramsgate-

TBD-

Canvey Island-

Sudbury1

Barking2

TBD-

Harlow-

Sittingbourne-

TBD-

East Grinstead Town-

Stortford-

TBD-

Brentwood-

TBD-

Chichester City-

Hitchin-

TBD-

VCD Athletic-

TBD-

Herne Bay-

Bognor Regis-

TBD-

AFC Dunstable1

Tooting & Mitcham2

TBD-

Romford-

Whitehawk-

TBD-

Barton-

TBD-

Cray Wanderers-

Aylesbury United-

TBD-

Tilbury-

TBD-

Margate-

Leatherhead-

TBD-

Potters-

Chesham-

TBD-

Whyteleafe-

TBD-

Cray Valley-

Horsham FC-

TBD-

Haywards Heath-

TBD-

Welwyn Garden-

Felixstowe & Walton2

Great Wakering1

TBD-

Westfield-

TBD-

Metropolitan Police-

Corinthian-Casuals-

TBD-

Hendon-

AFC Totton-

TBD-

Frome Town-

TBD-

Farnborough-

Taunton Town-

TBD-

Truro-

Bracknell Town-

TBD-

Sevenoaks-

Mangotsfield-

TBD-

Cinderford Town-

Dorchester-

TBD-

Gosport Borough-

Moneyfields-

TBD-

Basingstoke-

Kidlington-

TBD-

Didcot-

Thame United-

TBD-

Cirencester2

Paulton Rovers1

TBD-

Wimborne-

Salisbury-

TBD-

Tiverton-

Sholing-

TBD-

Wantage-

Thatcham-

TBD-

Melksham3

North Leigh4

Hartley Wintney-

TBD-

Poole Town-

Weston-super-Mare-

TBD-

Larkhall-

TBD-

Barnstaple Town-

Highworth-

TBD-

Winchester City-

TBD-

Swindon Supermarine-

Yate-

TBD-

Bideford-

TBD-

Slimbridge-

Willand Rovers-

TBD-

Bristol Manor Farm-

TBD-

Semi-finals

United of Manchester-

TBD-

Stocksbridge0

Marske United4

Atherton Collieries-

TBD-

City Of Liverpool-

Cleethorpes-

Hyde-

TBD-

Prescot Cables-

Frickley-

Warrington Town-

TBD-

Lancaster-

Kendal1

Brighouse Town0

TBD-

Buxton-

Ashton United-

TBD-

Dunston0

Clitheroe1

Radcliffe-

TBD-

Bamber Bridge-

Scarborough Athletic-

TBD-

Witton Albion-

Pickering Town1

Trafford0

Sheffield FC2

Runcorn Linnets3

Marine5

Mossley AFC0

TBD-

Stalybridge-

Droylsden-

Glossop North End-

Pontefract Collieries1

Workington4

South Shields-

TBD-

Widnes FC3

Colne4

Morpeth-

TBD-

Whitby-

Newcastle Town3

Belper Town2

TBD-

Nuneaton-

Evesham2

Carlton Town0

Histon1

Leek Town2

Redditch-

TBD-

Nantwich-

Tamworth-

TBD-

Banbury-

Bromsgrove-

TBD-

FC Wisbech Town1

Coleshill Town2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds-

TBD-

Ilkeston2

Kempston1

Yaxley-

Chasetown-

TBD-

Grantham Town-

Loughborough Dynamo1

Bury Town0

Spalding United0

Bedford1

Rushall-

TBD-

Barwell-

Mickleover-

TBD-

Sutton Coldfield Town2

Dereham3

Coalville Town-

TBD-

Matlock-

Peterborough Sports-

TBD-

Gainsborough-

Stourbridge-

TBD-

Stamford2

Lincoln Utd.1

Basford Utd.-

TBD-

Alvechurch-

Corby1

Halesowen0

TBD-

Hednesford-

Bedworth United1

Neots4

Worksop5

Ramsbottom Utd4

St Ives Town-

TBD-

Stratford-

TBD-

Daventry0

Kidsgrove Athletic2

Maldon & Tiptree4

Grays1

TBD-

Kingstonian-

Hastings3

Romania0

Ashford Town1

Whitstable Town0

Leiston-

TBD-

Worthing FC-

Burgess Hill2

Ware0

TBD-

Harrow Borough-

Phoenix Sports0

Marlow2

Chertsey Town1

Berkhamsted Town2

Needham Market-

TBD-

Chipstead1

Three Bridges2

Bowers & Pitsea-

TBD-

Hornchurch-

Royston Town-

TBD-

Hythe3

Ashford United2

East Thurrock Utd-

TBD-

Cheshunt-

Faversham4

Hertford Town1

TBD-

Haringey Borough-

Walton Casuals-

TBD-

Folkestone-

Merstham-

TBD-

Carshalton-

Bedfont Sports0

Coggeshall Town1

TBD-

Wingate & Finchley-

Kings Langley-

TBD-

Brightlingsea-

Lowestoft-

TBD-

Lewes-

Biggleswade Town-

TBD-

Northwood3

Heybridge4

Hanwell Town1

Aveley2

TBD-

Beaconsfield Town-

Uxbridge2

Waltham Abbey1

TBD-

Hayes & Yeading-

Enfield Town-

TBD-

Ramsgate-

Canvey Island-

Barking1

Harlow0

Sittingbourne1

East Grinstead Town0

Stortford-

TBD-

Brentwood3

Chichester City2

Hitchin-

TBD-

VCD Athletic1

Herne Bay2

Bognor Regis-

TBD-

Tooting & Mitcham2

Romford0

Whitehawk2

Barton1

TBD-

Cray Wanderers-

Aylesbury United3

Tilbury2

TBD-

Margate-

Leatherhead-

TBD-

Potters-

Chesham-

TBD-

Whyteleafe1

Cray Valley0

Horsham FC-

TBD-

Haywards Heath1

Welwyn Garden4

Felixstowe & Walton5

Westfield0

TBD-

Metropolitan Police-

Corinthian-Casuals-

TBD-

Hendon-

AFC Totton2

Frome Town3

TBD-

Farnborough-

Taunton Town-

TBD-

Truro-

Bracknell Town2

Sevenoaks0

Mangotsfield1

Cinderford Town2

Dorchester-

TBD-

Gosport Borough-

Moneyfields2

Basingstoke1

Kidlington2

Didcot1

Thame United4

Cirencester1

TBD-

Wimborne-

Salisbury-

TBD-

Tiverton-

Sholing0

Wantage2

Thatcham2

North Leigh4

Hartley Wintney-

TBD-

Poole Town-

Weston-super-Mare-

TBD-

Larkhall5

Barnstaple Town0

Highworth2

Winchester City1

TBD-

Swindon Supermarine-

Yate-

TBD-

Bideford3

Slimbridge2

Willand Rovers2

Bristol Manor Farm1

TBD-

Final

United of Manchester2

Marske United3

Atherton Collieries0

City Of Liverpool3

Hyde2

Frickley1

Warrington Town2

Lancaster1

Brighouse Town0

Buxton2

Ashton United1

Clitheroe0

Radcliffe1

Bamber Bridge2

Scarborough Athletic0

Witton Albion3

Pickering Town1

Runcorn Linnets4

Marine3

Stalybridge2

Glossop North End0

Workington1

South Shields1

Colne0

Morpeth3

Whitby1

Newcastle Town0

Nuneaton2

Evesham3

Leek Town2

Redditch2

Nantwich3

Tamworth2

Banbury1

Bromsgrove0

Coleshill Town1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds3

Ilkeston0

Yaxley0

Grantham Town2

Loughborough Dynamo1

Bedford3

Rushall4

Barwell1

Mickleover5

Dereham0

Coalville Town3

Matlock4

Peterborough Sports4

Gainsborough2

Stourbridge0

Stamford3

Basford Utd.2

Alvechurch1

Corby1

Hednesford2

Neots6

Worksop1

St Ives Town2

Stafford1

Stratford1

Kidsgrove Athletic3

Maldon & Tiptree3

Kingstonian2

Hastings2

Ashford Town1

Leiston5

Worthing FC4

Burgess Hill4

Harrow Borough1

Marlow2

Berkhamsted Town1

Needham Market4

Three Bridges1

Bowers & Pitsea1

Hornchurch3

Royston Town2

Hythe0

East Thurrock Utd3

Cheshunt4

Faversham1

Haringey Borough2

Walton Casuals2

Folkestone1

Merstham1

Carshalton3

Coggeshall Town1

Wingate & Finchley2

Kings Langley4

Brightlingsea1

Lowestoft3

Lewes1

Biggleswade Town1

Heybridge0

Aveley3

Beaconsfield Town0

Uxbridge2

Hayes & Yeading1

Enfield Town8

Ramsgate1

Barking2

Sittingbourne1

Stortford3

Brentwood2

Hitchin3

Herne Bay1

Bognor Regis2

Tooting & Mitcham0

Whitehawk0

Cray Wanderers3

Aylesbury United2

Margate4

Leatherhead3

Potters1

Chesham3

Whyteleafe2

Horsham FC1

Welwyn Garden2

Felixstowe & Walton3

Metropolitan Police1

Corinthian-Casuals5

Hendon4

Frome Town3

Farnborough0

Taunton Town2

Truro4

Bracknell Town3

Cinderford Town0

Dorchester2

Gosport Borough1

Moneyfields3

Kidlington2

Thame United3

Wimborne0

Salisbury6

Tiverton0

Wantage1

North Leigh4

Hartley Wintney1

Poole Town4

Weston-super-Mare2

Larkhall1

Highworth2

Swindon Supermarine3

Yate-

Bideford-

Willand Rovers-

TBD-