Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2015/2016

Aylesbury Vale

1 - 2

Chesham

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Chesham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Aylesbury Vale

15%

Draws

85%

Chesham

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Aylesbury Vale haven't matched Chesham's recent run of results.
85% — that's where the model lands on Chesham taking it.
Chesham arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Chesham, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Aylesbury Vale Clean Sheet 12%

Chesham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aylesbury Vale	Chesham
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	5	15
Draws	5	4
Losses	19	11
Goals Scored	1.14	1.83
Goals Conceded	2.03	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2015 FA Cup

Aylesbury Vale vs Chesham

1:2

Sep 12, 2015 FA Cup

Chesham vs Aylesbury Vale

0:0

Oct 10, 2009 FA Cup

Aylesbury Vale vs Chesham

4:3

Mar 11, 2006 Southern Premier League

Aylesbury Vale vs Chesham

0:1

Dec 27, 2005 Southern Premier League

Chesham vs Aylesbury Vale

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aylesbury Vale 14 / 100

Chesham 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aylesbury Vale Chesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chesham Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aylesbury Vale's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chesham conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Chesham's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chesham

0 Goals Scored 2.38

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aylesbury Vale

(Home)

30 Aug

Aylesbury Vale

1 : 3

St. Albans

31 Aug

Aylesbury Vale

0 : 3

Bognor Regis

03 Sept

Yate

4 : 3

Aylesbury Vale

26 Jul

Thame United

3 : 0

Aylesbury Vale

12 Jul

Aylesbury Vale

0 : 2

AFC Dunstable

Page 1 of 6

Chesham

(Away)

22 Aug

Chesham

2 : 0

Walton & Hersham

19 Aug

Farnborough

1 : 0

Chesham

15 Aug

Braintree

3 : 2

Chesham

08 Aug

Weston-super-Mare

3 : 0

Chesham

28 Jul

Chertsey Town

2 : 1

Chesham

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Gateshead -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Oadby Town 1

Holbeach 3

Stourport 2

TBD -

Worcester -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Stockport County -

Stamford 3

Leamington 2

Newcastle Town 4

Coleshill Town 6

TBD -

Barrow -

Wrexham -

TBD -

Droylsden 2

Ossett Albion 1

Padiham 0

Lancaster 2

Boston United -

TBD -

Gainsborough -

Marine 2

Clitheroe 0

Runcorn Linnets 0

Washington 1

Hyde 3

Darlington FC 1

AFC Blackpool 0

Northwich Victoria 4

Whitley Bay 4

Matlock 3

Roofing 3

FC Congleton Town 4

Frickley 2

Maltby 0

TBD -

Chorley -

Harrogate -

TBD -

Colwyn Bay 0

Workington 5

Spennymoor 2

Blyth Spartans 1

Alsager 0

Burscough 1

TBD -

Grimsby -

Barwell 4

Westfields 1

Leighton Town 2

Cogenhoe 3

FC Witham Town 2

Thurrock 1

Wroxham 1

King’s Lynn 4

Ashton United 3

FC Guisborough Town 2

Thackley 2

Abbey Hey 3

Deeping Rangers 6

Leek Town 4

Bedfont & Feltham 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Salford 6

Whitby 1

TBD -

Curzon Ashton -

Consett 3

Colne 1

TBD -

Bradford PA -

TBD -

Southport -

Sporting Khalsa 3

Wulfrunians 2

Long Eaton 0

Basford Utd. 1

Coalville Town 2

Stratford 0

Nantwich 0

Spalding United 1

United of Manchester -

TBD -

Farsley 1

Witton Albion 2

Armthorpe Welfare 4

AFC Liverpool 3

Ramsbottom Utd 1

Buxton 2

Chasetown 3

Grantham Town 0

Redditch 1

Hinckley 2

Kendal 5

Dunston 2

TBD -

Stalybridge -

Nuneaton -

TBD -

Mickleover 1

Halesowen 2

Newton Aycliffe 2

Brighouse Town 0

TBD -

North Ferriby United -

Halifax -

TBD -

Guiseley -

Tranmere -

TBD -

Lincoln City -

Stourbridge 1

Tividale 0

Belper Town 1

Dunkirk 3

Corby -

TBD -

Shepshed 1

Rushall 4

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Hednesford -

TBD -

Holwell 2

Bedworth United 4

Tamworth -

TBD -

Alfreton -

Brackley -

TBD -

Farnham 1

Tooting & Mitcham 2

Lincoln Utd. 2

Clipstone 1

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2

Rugby 3

Kettering 5

Market Drayton 0

TBD -

Telford -

Skelmersdale 3

Glossop North End 2

Goole 4

Bamber Bridge 6

Altrincham -

TBD -

Chester -

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond 0

Dulwich Hamlet 1

Bideford 3

Hamworthy United 1

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Hastings 1

Thatcham 0

Rochester United 1

Herne Bay 3

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

Barnstaple Town 0

Poole Town 1

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Swindon Supermarine 0

Winchester City 4

Wimborne 3

Witheridge 2

Cheltenham Saracens 1

Blackfield & Langley 2

TBD -

Woking -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers 0

Slough Town 1

Ebbsfleet -

TBD -

Chelmsford -

TBD -

Torquay -

Grays 5

Biggleswade United 0

Basildon 0

Hullbridge 1

Mildenhall 1

North Greenford Utd. 0

Saffron 0

Hanwell Town 1

TBD -

Welling -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Worthing FC 2

Thamesmead 1

Tilbury 3

Neots 6

Phoenix Sports 2

Lewes 0

Cambridge City 1

Hornchurch 2

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Brantham 1

Biggleswade Town 2

Portchester 3

Bristol Manor Farm 0

Mangotsfield 0

Brockenhurst 3

Oxford City -

TBD -

Bracknell Town 3

Shortwood 4

Lowestoft -

TBD -

Merstham 1

Bognor Regis 2

Didcot 5

VCD Athletic 4

Harrow Borough 0

Northwood 1

Chatham 1

Cray Wanderers 0

Shoreham 2

Eastbourne Town 3

Hoddesdon 3

Ashford Town 1

Metropolitan Police 0

Sittingbourne 1

Croydon FC 1

Molesey 0

Arlesey 0

Brentwood 2

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Hendon 1

Sudbury 3

Merthyr Town 2

Plymouth Parkway 0

Fleet Town 1

Hartley Wintney 5

TBD -

Dover Ath. -

Chesham 2

Aylesbury Vale 1

Cinderford Town 1

Paulton Rovers 2

Slimbridge 3

Greenwich Borough 2

Chessington & Hook 2

North Leigh 3

Hitchin 5

Peterborough Sports 3

Beaconsfield Town 1

Kirkley & Pakefield 2

Ipswich Wanderers 1

Canvey Island 0

Billericay 1

Enfield Town 3

Staines 5

Faversham 3

Needham Market 1

Stanway Rovers 4

Carshalton 2

Pagham 1

Yaxley 1

East Thurrock Utd 3

Leiston 1

AFC Dunstable 0

Folkestone 2

Tonbridge 3

Kidlington 1

Godalming Town 0

TBD -

Gloucester City -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Cockfosters 1

Bury Town 2

Stortford -

TBD -

Sutton -

Bromley -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Margate -

TBD -

Haringey Borough 0

Potters 3

Taunton Town 3

Tuffley Rovers 0

TBD -

Truro -

TBD -

Forest Green -

Braintree -

TBD -

Harlow 5

Bedford 1

Welwyn Garden 0

St Ives Town 1

Bodmin Town 2

Almondsbury UWE 0

TBD -

Bath City -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Bridport 2

Larkhall 5

Horsham YMCA 2

Burgess Hill 1

Histon 1

Aveley 5

TBD -

Cheltenham -

Chippenham Town 1

Frome Town 0

Hungerford 1

Bradford Town 3

Dartford -

TBD -

Heybridge 1

Uxbridge 3

Dunstable Town 2

Barton 1

Farnborough 3

Kingstonian 4

South Park 4

Leatherhead 2

TBD -

Maidstone -

St. Albans -

TBD -

Whitstable Town 1

Deal Town 3

Cirencester 4

Dorchester 2

Weymouth 1

Petersfield 3

Wingate & Finchley 4

Long Buckby 0

TBD -

Concord Rangers -

Hook Norton 1

Eastbourne United 0

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Quarter-finals

Gateshead -

TBD -

Solihull Moors 3

Oadby Town 1

Holbeach 1

Worcester 3

AFC Fylde 1

Stockport County 0

Stamford 0

Coleshill Town 2

TBD -

Barrow -

Wrexham -

TBD -

Droylsden 2

Lancaster 0

Boston United 0

Gainsborough 2

Marine 6

Washington 5

Hyde 1

Northwich Victoria 2

Whitley Bay 2

FC Congleton Town 1

Frickley 0

Chorley 2

Harrogate 1

Workington 0

Spennymoor 0

Burscough 2

TBD -

Grimsby -

Barwell 5

Cogenhoe 0

FC Witham Town 0

King’s Lynn 1

Ashton United 5

Abbey Hey 0

Deeping Rangers 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Salford 2

Curzon Ashton 1

Consett 1

Bradford PA 2

TBD -

Southport -

Sporting Khalsa 3

Basford Utd. 2

Coalville Town 0

Spalding United 3

United of Manchester 3

Witton Albion 1

Armthorpe Welfare 1

Buxton 6

Chasetown 5

Hinckley 2

Kendal 2

Stalybridge 3

Nuneaton 2

Halesowen 0

Newton Aycliffe 0

North Ferriby United 3

Halifax -

TBD -

Guiseley -

Tranmere -

TBD -

Lincoln City -

Stourbridge 3

Dunkirk 1

Corby 2

Rushall 3

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Hednesford 2

Bedworth United 0

Tamworth 2

Alfreton 3

Brackley 3

Tooting & Mitcham 1

Lincoln Utd. 2

Rugby 3

Kettering 2

Telford 1

Skelmersdale 0

Bamber Bridge 2

Altrincham -

TBD -

Chester -

Whitehawk 4

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Bideford 0

Gosport Borough 7

Hastings 4

Herne Bay 3

Hayes & Yeading 2

Poole Town 3

Maidenhead 5

Winchester City 3

Wimborne 1

Blackfield & Langley 6

TBD -

Woking -

Basingstoke 4

Slough Town 2

Ebbsfleet 1

Chelmsford 2

TBD -

Torquay -

Grays 6

Hullbridge 0

Mildenhall 0

Hanwell Town 1

TBD -

Welling -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Worthing FC 4

Neots 3

Phoenix Sports 3

Hornchurch 5

Wealdstone 3

Biggleswade Town 1

Portchester 0

Brockenhurst 1

Oxford City 3

Shortwood 1

Lowestoft 1

Bognor Regis 2

Didcot 2

Northwood 1

Chatham 1

Eastbourne Town 2

Hoddesdon 2

Sittingbourne 1

Croydon FC 1

Brentwood 3

Eastbourne Borough 2

Sudbury 1

Merthyr Town 0

Hartley Wintney 1

TBD -

Dover Ath. -

Chesham 2

Paulton Rovers 0

Slimbridge 1

North Leigh 4

Hitchin 2

Kirkley & Pakefield 0

Ipswich Wanderers 0

Enfield Town 1

Staines 1

Stanway Rovers 0

Carshalton 0

East Thurrock Utd 5

Leiston 3

Tonbridge 1

Kidlington 2

Gloucester City 4

Aldershot -

TBD -

Hemel Hempstead 3

Bury Town 0

Stortford 0

Sutton 2

Bromley -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Margate 5

Potters 1

Taunton Town 3

Truro 5

TBD -

Forest Green -

Braintree -

TBD -

Harlow 3

St Ives Town 0

Bodmin Town 1

Bath City 2

Havant & Waterlooville 5

Larkhall 3

Horsham YMCA 3

Aveley 6

TBD -

Cheltenham -

Chippenham Town 3

Bradford Town 2

Dartford 0

Uxbridge 1

Dunstable Town 2

Kingstonian 0

South Park 2

Maidstone 6

St. Albans 2

Deal Town 1

Cirencester 1

Petersfield 3

Wingate & Finchley 2

Concord Rangers 1

Hook Norton 1

Weston-super-Mare 2

Semi-finals

Gateshead -

TBD -

Solihull Moors 1

Worcester 2

AFC Fylde 9

Coleshill Town 0

TBD -

Barrow -

Wrexham -

TBD -

Droylsden 3

Gainsborough 4

Marine 2

Northwich Victoria 4

Whitley Bay 2

Chorley 3

Harrogate 3

Burscough 0

TBD -

Grimsby -

Barwell 1

King’s Lynn 0

Ashton United 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Salford 2

Bradford PA 1

TBD -

Southport -

Sporting Khalsa 3

Spalding United 2

United of Manchester 3

Buxton 1

Chasetown 1

Stalybridge 3

Nuneaton 1

North Ferriby United 2

Halifax -

TBD -

Guiseley -

Tranmere -

TBD -

Lincoln City -

Stourbridge 1

Rushall 0

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Hednesford 2

Alfreton 4

Brackley 3

Rugby 1

Kettering 3

Bamber Bridge 4

Altrincham -

TBD -

Chester -

Whitehawk 4

Gosport Borough 3

Hastings 0

Poole Town 2

Maidenhead 1

Blackfield & Langley 0

TBD -

Woking -

Basingstoke 4

Chelmsford 2

TBD -

Torquay -

Grays 2

Hanwell Town 1

TBD -

Welling -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Worthing FC 1

Hornchurch 4

Wealdstone 5

Brockenhurst 1

Oxford City 2

Bognor Regis 4

Didcot 4

Eastbourne Town 1

Hoddesdon 1

Brentwood 2

Eastbourne Borough 3

Hartley Wintney 2

TBD -

Dover Ath. -

Chesham 2

North Leigh 0

Hitchin 1

Enfield Town 2

Staines 6

East Thurrock Utd 3

Leiston 1

Gloucester City 3

Aldershot -

TBD -

Hemel Hempstead 2

Sutton 3

Bromley -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Margate 4

Truro 1

TBD -

Forest Green -

Braintree -

TBD -

Harlow 4

Bath City 3

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Aveley 0

TBD -

Cheltenham -

Chippenham Town 3

Uxbridge 0

Dunstable Town 0

Maidstone 2

St. Albans 1

Petersfield 0

Wingate & Finchley 1

Weston-super-Mare 3

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Gateshead 1

Worcester 2

AFC Fylde 1

Barrow 0

Wrexham 0

Gainsborough 1

Northwich Victoria 2

Chorley 1

Harrogate 1

Grimsby 4

Barwell 3

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Salford 1

Southport 0

Sporting Khalsa 1

United of Manchester 3

Stalybridge 2

North Ferriby United 1

Halifax 4

Guiseley 3

Tranmere 0

Lincoln City 2

Stourbridge 3

Kidderminster 0

Macclesfield 3

Alfreton 2

Brackley 3

Bamber Bridge 0

Altrincham 1

Chester 0

Whitehawk 2

Poole Town 0

Maidenhead 3

Woking 0

Basingstoke 3

Torquay 0

Grays 1

Welling 5

Boreham Wood 2

Hornchurch 1

Wealdstone 2

Bognor Regis 1

Didcot 4

Brentwood 2

Eastbourne Borough 1

Dover Ath. 2

Chesham 2

Enfield Town 1

Staines 2

Gloucester City 1

Aldershot 1

Sutton 0

Bromley 1

Eastleigh 2

Margate 1

Forest Green 2

Braintree 2

Harlow 0

Havant & Waterlooville 3

Cheltenham 4

Chippenham Town 0

Maidstone 2

St. Albans 2

Weston-super-Mare 1

Aylesbury Vale vs Chesham

England

Aylesbury Vale

Chesham

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Aylesbury Vale

Chesham

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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