Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr

4 - 1

Alloa

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Stirton O.

18'

Shanks K.

(Penalty)

34'

Ellison J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Ayr

35%

Draws

56%

Alloa

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence

Alloa have won more games recently than Ayr.
Alloa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Alloa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ayr, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Ayr Clean Sheet 16%

Alloa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ayr	Alloa
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	10	12
Draws	6	5
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.28	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	0.69	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup

Ayr vs Alloa

4:1

Jul 29, 2023 League Cup

Ayr vs Alloa

6:0

Oct 9, 2021 Challenge Cup

Alloa vs Ayr

0:0

Mar 27, 2021 Championship

Alloa vs Ayr

2:2

Jan 30, 2021 Championship

Ayr vs Alloa

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Stirton O.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Murphy J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.53

Avg xA / game 0.34

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Donnell C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 28 / 100

Alloa 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ayr Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alloa Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ayr scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Alloa has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Ayr remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Alloa

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

(Home)

12 Sept

Ayr

1 : 3

Inverness

05 Sept

Partick

1 : 0

Ayr

29 Aug

Ayr

1 : 1

Morton

22 Aug

Raith

2 : 0

Ayr

14 Aug

Kilmarnock

3 : 2

Ayr

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Alloa

(Away)

12 Sept

Airdrieonians

1 : 0

Alloa

08 Sept

Clydebank FC

1 : 1

Alloa

05 Sept

Cove Rangers

1 : 1

Alloa

29 Aug

Alloa

1 : 1

Peterhead

25 Aug

Alloa

3 : 0

Motherwell B

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