Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayr vs Dumbarton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
McBeth L.
20' Event
McKenzie M.
55' Event
Taylor R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Ayr in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ayr
15%
Draws
59%
Dumbarton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ayr have won more games recently than Dumbarton.
  • Win probability leans Ayr's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ayr Clean Sheet 20%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayr Dumbarton
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Ayr vs Dumbarton
3:0
Jun 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Ayr vs Dumbarton
1:1
Jul 18, 2017 League Cup
Dumbarton vs Ayr
1:3
Mar 25, 2017 Championship
Ayr vs Dumbarton
2:1
Feb 18, 2017 Championship
Dumbarton vs Ayr
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer McBeth L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McKenzie M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Dumbarton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 36 / 100
Dumbarton 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayr Dumbarton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayr scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Dumbarton has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ayr remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Dumbarton
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

(Home)
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
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Dumbarton

(Away)
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
08 Sept
Cove Rangers
6 : 1
Dumbarton
05 Sept
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Elgin City
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