Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr

2 - 0

Edinburgh City

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Walker L.

46'

Sub

Watret D. In: Mitchell K.

Out: Watret D.

62'

Stirton O.

Assist: Hislop J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Ayr

30%

Draws

62%

Edinburgh City

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Edinburgh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence

Edinburgh City have won more games recently than Ayr.
Model gives Edinburgh City a 62% chance of winning this.
Edinburgh City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ayr, who have won 4 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Ayr here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Ayr Clean Sheet 16%

Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ayr	Edinburgh City
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	9	10
Draws	5	6
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.26	1.46
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.89
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup

Ayr vs Edinburgh City

2:0

Jul 13, 2021 League Cup

Ayr vs Edinburgh City

3:0

Jul 23, 2016 League Cup

Ayr vs Edinburgh City

1:0

Dec 11, 2004 Scottish Cup

Ayr vs Edinburgh City

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Stirton O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mitchell K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Edinburgh City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 15 / 100

Edinburgh City 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ayr Edinburgh City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Edinburgh City Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayr's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Edinburgh City conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Ayr stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Edinburgh City

0.63 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

(Home)

12 Sept

Ayr

1 : 3

Inverness

05 Sept

Partick

1 : 0

Ayr

29 Aug

Ayr

1 : 1

Morton

22 Aug

Raith

2 : 0

Ayr

14 Aug

Kilmarnock

3 : 2

Ayr

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Edinburgh City

(Away)

12 Sept

Edinburgh City

7 : 3

Stirling

08 Sept

Edinburgh City

1 : 1

Queen of the South

05 Sept

Clyde

3 : 2

Edinburgh City

28 Aug

Edinburgh City

1 : 1

Forfar Athletic

25 Aug

Hamilton

0 : 1

Edinburgh City

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