Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Alonge J.
Assist: Longstaff L.
34'
34'
Finney G.
Assist: McKenzie M.
46'
46'
Sub
Bonnar J. In: Dick L.
Out: Bonnar J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Inverness advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayr
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Inverness come out ahead of Ayr on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Ayr taking it.
- Inverness arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Inverness, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ayr Clean Sheet 20%
Inverness Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ayr | Inverness |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2026 Challenge Cup
Ayr vs Inverness
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Ayr
1:2
Jan 6, 2024 Championship
Ayr vs Inverness
1:3
Nov 11, 2023 Championship
Inverness vs Ayr
3:1
Aug 12, 2023 Championship
Ayr vs Inverness
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ayr Compare
Top Goalscorer Finney G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Inverness Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonge J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ayr 40 / 100
Inverness 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ayr Inverness
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AYR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ayr has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ayr scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Inverness let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ayr VS Inverness
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ayr
(Home) 01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0 Arbroath
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1 Alloa
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1 Ayr
11 Jul
Stranraer
2 : 3 Ayr
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0 Arbroath
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1 Alloa
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
04 Jul
Ayr
2 : 1 Airdrieonians
30 Jun
Ayr
3 : 0 Dumbarton
Page 1 of 4
Inverness
(Away) 01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0 Dunfermline
25 Jul
Morton
0 : 1 Inverness
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0 St Johnstone
18 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2 Inverness
11 Jul
Inverness
2 : 1 East Fife
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Morton
0 : 1 Inverness
18 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2 Inverness
07 Jul
Cove Rangers
1 : 4 Inverness
27 Jun
Clachnacuddin
1 : 3 Inverness
23 Jun
Nairn County
1 : 3 Inverness
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Arbroath 3
Kelty Hearts 2
Elgin City 2
East Fife 3
Alloa 2
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 2
Spartans 1
Queen's Park 2
Clyde 1
Forfar Athletic 2
Edinburgh City 1
Raith 5
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 4
Dunfermline 3
Hearts B 0
St Johnstone 1
Ross County 4
Celtic B 0
Ayr 2
Peterhead 1
East Kilbride 1
Stranraer 4
Cove Rangers 1
Partick 2
Dumbarton 0
Inverness 9
Stirling 3
Morton 2
Stenhousemuir 2
Annan 0
1/8-finals
Arbroath 3
East Fife 0
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 1
Queen's Park 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Raith 1
Queen of the South 0
St Johnstone 2
Ross County 0
Ayr 4
Stranraer 1
Partick 3
Inverness 4
Stirling 1
Stenhousemuir 2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath 2
Airdrieonians 3
Queen's Park 1
Raith 2
St Johnstone 3
Ayr 4
Inverness 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Raith 2
Ayr 1
Inverness 2
Final
Raith 4
Inverness 1
