Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Alonge J.
Assist: Longstaff L.
34'
34'
Finney G.
Assist: McKenzie M.
46'
46'
Sub
Bonnar J. In: Dick L.
Out: Bonnar J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Inverness advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inverness
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Inverness come out ahead of Ayr on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Ayr taking it.
- Inverness arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Inverness, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Inverness here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ayr Clean Sheet 20%
Inverness Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ayr | Inverness |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Inverness
1:3
Feb 24, 2026 Challenge Cup
Ayr vs Inverness
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Ayr
1:2
Jan 6, 2024 Championship
Ayr vs Inverness
1:3
Nov 11, 2023 Championship
Inverness vs Ayr
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ayr Compare
Top Goalscorer Finney G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Inverness Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonge J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ayr 36 / 100
Inverness 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ayr Inverness
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Ayr scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Inverness conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Ayr stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ayr VS Inverness
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ayr
(Home) 18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2 Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3 Inverness
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0 Ayr
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1 Morton
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0 Ayr
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3 Inverness
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1 Morton
01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0 Arbroath
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1 Alloa
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 4
Inverness
(Away) 19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2 Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3 Inverness
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2 Raith
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1 Inverness
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1 Partick
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2 Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3 Inverness
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1 Inverness
16 Aug
Hearts
6 : 2 Inverness
08 Aug
Arbroath
0 : 0 Inverness
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Arbroath 3
Kelty Hearts 2
Elgin City 2
East Fife 3
Alloa 2
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 2
Spartans 1
Queen's Park 2
Clyde 1
Forfar Athletic 2
Edinburgh City 1
Raith 5
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 4
Dunfermline 3
Hearts B 0
St Johnstone 1
Ross County 4
Celtic B 0
Ayr 2
Peterhead 1
East Kilbride 1
Stranraer 4
Cove Rangers 1
Partick 2
Dumbarton 0
Inverness 9
Stirling 3
Morton 2
Stenhousemuir 2
Annan 0
1/8-finals
Arbroath 3
East Fife 0
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 1
Queen's Park 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Raith 1
Queen of the South 0
St Johnstone 2
Ross County 0
Ayr 4
Stranraer 1
Partick 3
Inverness 4
Stirling 1
Stenhousemuir 2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath 2
Airdrieonians 3
Queen's Park 1
Raith 2
St Johnstone 3
Ayr 4
Inverness 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Raith 2
Ayr 1
Inverness 2
Final
Raith 4
Inverness 1
