Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayr vs Morton

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Somerset Park, Ayr
Ayr Logo

Ayr

0 - 1
FT
Morton Logo

Morton

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Comrie A.
Assist: Shaw N.
17'
McMann S.
30'
Sub
Garrity M. In: Longridge J.
Out: Garrity M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Ayr and Morton finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ayr
20%
Draws
16%
Morton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Morton haven't matched Ayr's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ayr a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ayr Clean Sheet 20%
Morton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayr Morton
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Morton
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Morton
0:1
Dec 27, 2025 Championship
Morton vs Ayr
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Morton
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Championship
Morton vs Ayr
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Morton Compare

Top Goalscorer Comrie A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 67 / 100
Morton 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayr Morton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Morton conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ayr scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Morton lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Morton
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

(Home)
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
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Morton

(Away)
25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0
Morton
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Johnstone 36 22 11 3 67:25 77
2 Partick 36 17 15 4 53:36 66
3 Arbroath 36 13 13 10 43:41 52
4 Dunfermline 36 14 9 13 52:41 51
5 Raith 36 12 9 15 43:42 45
6 Queen's Park 36 9 14 13 35:48 41
7 Ayr 36 8 15 13 38:47 39
8 Morton 36 8 14 14 36:52 38
9 Airdrieonians 36 8 12 16 35:49 36
10 Ross County 36 8 10 18 36:57 34
Promotion - Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One (Main)