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Ayutthaya United vs Customs Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Chaiprasert N.
80' Event
Joao Paulo

AI Match Summary

Ayutthaya United in this Thai League 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayutthaya United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ayutthaya United
15%
Draws
28%
Customs Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayutthaya United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayutthaya United have won more games recently than Customs Utd.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 20%
Customs Utd Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayutthaya United Customs Utd
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.25 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Customs Utd
1:0
Dec 2, 2023 Thai League 2
Customs Utd vs Ayutthaya United
1:1
Apr 8, 2023 Thai League 2
Customs Utd vs Ayutthaya United
1:2
Dec 3, 2022 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Customs Utd
0:3
Mar 26, 2022 Thai League 2
Customs Utd vs Ayutthaya United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayutthaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Customs Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayutthaya United 31 / 100
Customs Utd 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayutthaya United Customs Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayutthaya United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Customs Utd conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ayutthaya United scored in 73% of their last 40 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Customs Utd has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayutthaya United VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayutthaya United

(Home)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1
Ayutthaya United
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
23 Aug
Ayutthaya United
0 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 8

Customs Utd

(Away)
28 Dec
Customs Utd
2 : 3
Sukhothai
21 Dec
Customs Utd
1 : 5
Buriram United F.C.
29 Oct
Customs Utd
3 : 0
Nonthaburi United
27 Apr
Chiangmai United
2 : 0
Customs Utd
19 Apr
Suphanburi FC
1 : 0
Customs Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 34 21 10 3 64:27 73
2 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 22 6 6 80:39 72
3 Rayong FC 34 16 12 6 62:34 60
4 Chiangmai FC 34 17 8 9 55:34 59
5 Nakhon Si United 34 16 11 7 60:40 59
6 Ayutthaya United 34 16 9 9 52:36 57
7 Pattaya United 34 15 10 9 45:36 55
8 Lampang F.C. 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
9 Chiangmai United 34 12 13 9 52:41 49
10 Suphanburi FC 34 12 7 15 36:41 43
11 Phrae United 34 11 7 16 37:53 40
12 Chanthaburi 34 9 13 12 44:44 40
13 Kanchanaburi 34 10 8 16 43:52 38
14 Chainat Hornbill 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
15 Samut Prakan City 34 8 11 15 39:57 35
16 Kasetsart 34 6 4 24 31:84 22
17 Customs Utd 34 4 9 21 26:63 21
18 Krabi 34 3 11 20 23:63 20
Promotion - Thai League 1 2024/2025 (Main)
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