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Ayvalikgucu vs Alanya 1221

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Ozdemir B.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Ayvalikgucu and Alanya 1221 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alanya 1221.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ayvalikgucu
20%
Draws
7%
Alanya 1221
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ayvalikgucu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ayvalikgucu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 68%
Alanya 1221 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Alanya 1221
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.84 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Alanya 1221
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Alanya 1221 vs Ayvalikgucu
1:2
Feb 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Alanya 1221 vs Ayvalikgucu
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Ayvalikgucu vs Alanya 1221
3:2
May 20, 2023 3. Lig Group 2
Ayvalikgucu vs Alanya 1221
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alanya 1221 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozdemir B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 95 / 100
Alanya 1221 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Alanya 1221

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayvalikgucu scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Alanya 1221 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ayvalikgucu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS Alanya 1221
1.5 Goals Scored 0.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
03 Oct
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 1
Soke 1970
26 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bigaspor
20 Sept
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1
Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 3
Ayvalikgucu
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Alanya 1221

(Away)
03 Oct
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
19 Sept
Aksehirspor
3 : 1
Alanya 1221
13 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Balikesirspor
06 Sept
Eskisehirspor
4 : 0
Alanya 1221
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)