Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayvalikgucu vs Bornova 1877 Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Dogan Y.
Assist: Ozcan U.
58' Event
Yildirim T.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Yoruk M.
Assist: Tas C.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Ayvalikgucu and Bornova 1877 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayvalikgucu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ayvalikgucu
15%
Draws
20%
Bornova 1877
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayvalikgucu come out ahead of Bornova 1877 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ayvalikgucu a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 68%
Bornova 1877 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Bornova 1877
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 2.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Bornova 1877
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Bornova 1877 vs Ayvalikgucu
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Dogan Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Bornova 1877 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoruk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 95 / 100
Bornova 1877 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Bornova 1877

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bornova 1877 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Ayvalikgucu scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ayvalikgucu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS Bornova 1877
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
03 Oct
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 1
Soke 1970
26 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bigaspor
20 Sept
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1
Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 3
Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 6

Bornova 1877

(Away)
18 Apr
Bornova 1877
1 : 4
Balikesirspor
12 Apr
Kutahyaspor
2 : 0
Bornova 1877
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
29 Mar
Tire 2021 FK
2 : 4
Bornova 1877
24 Mar
Bornova 1877
2 : 3
Soke 1970
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)