Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ozcan U.
Assist: Kurt H.
20' Event
Torun M.
Assist: Candogan N.
51' Event
Boz E.
Assist: Erkan H.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Ayvalikgucu and Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayvalikgucu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ayvalikgucu
30%
Draws
18%
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayvalikgucu come out ahead of Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ayvalikgucu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 68%
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu vs Ayvalikgucu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozcan U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boz E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Torun M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 95 / 100
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayvalikgucu's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ayvalikgucu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
26 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bigaspor
20 Sept
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1
Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 3
Ayvalikgucu
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2
52 Orduspor
Page 1 of 7

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu

(Away)
27 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 0
Kepez Bld.
20 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
5 : 0
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Bursa Yildirimspor
06 Sept
Altay
1 : 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
18 Apr
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
3 : 3
Eskisehir Anadolu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)