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Aywaille vs SB Stade Mouscronnois - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group ACFF
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AI Match Summary

The Second Amateur Division Group ACFF game between Aywaille and SB Stade Mouscronnois finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SB Stade Mouscronnois.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Aywaille
20%
Draws
73%
SB Stade Mouscronnois
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SB Stade Mouscronnois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aywaille come out ahead of SB Stade Mouscronnois on wins alone.
  • SB Stade Mouscronnois are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aywaille Clean Sheet 10%
SB Stade Mouscronnois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aywaille SB Stade Mouscronnois
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 5 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.07 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Second Amateur Division Group ACFF
Aywaille vs SB Stade Mouscronnois
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aywaille 10 / 100
SB Stade Mouscronnois 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aywaille SB Stade Mouscronnois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SB Stade Mouscronnois Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Aywaille scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

SB Stade Mouscronnois has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Solid form: Aywaille remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aywaille VS SB Stade Mouscronnois
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aywaille

(Home)
03 Oct
La Calamine
1 : 0
Aywaille
27 Sept
Aywaille
0 : 4
SB Stade Mouscronnois
20 Sept
Binche
0 : 0
Aywaille
13 Sept
Aywaille
1 : 4
Eupen 2
06 Sept
SG-Tertre Hautrage
2 : 1
Aywaille
Page 1 of 6

SB Stade Mouscronnois

(Away)
03 Oct
SB Stade Mouscronnois
3 : 2
Entite Manageoise
27 Sept
Aywaille
0 : 4
SB Stade Mouscronnois
19 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois
3 : 4
La Calamine
12 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois
2 : 1
Acren
06 Sept
Binche
4 : 4
SB Stade Mouscronnois
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crossing Schaerbeek 7 5 1 1 20:12 16
2 Jette 7 4 3 0 14:6 15
3 Ganshoren 7 4 1 2 20:12 13
4 RCS Brainois 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
5 SG-Tertre Hautrage 7 4 1 2 11:9 13
6 Eupen 2 7 3 3 1 16:13 12
7 Stade Vervietois 7 3 2 2 16:10 11
8 SB Stade Mouscronnois 7 3 2 2 17:14 11
9 Binche 7 3 2 2 14:16 11
10 Richelle 7 3 1 3 13:11 10
11 La Calamine 7 3 1 3 12:10 10
12 Ostiches 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
13 Stockay-Warfusee 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Hutoise 7 2 2 3 8:13 8
15 Acren 7 2 1 4 13:13 7
16 Namur 7 1 1 5 5:18 4
17 Entite Manageoise 7 0 2 5 10:19 2
18 Aywaille 7 0 1 6 3:16 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group ACFF (Play Offs)