Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Villarreal U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2021/2022 AFAS Trainingscomplex
Tue, Feb 8, 2022
4 - 3
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Guerrero D.
9' Event
Jimenez A.
Assist: Geralnik T.
14' Event
van Brederode M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
AZ Alkmaar U19
11%
Draws
9%
Villarreal U19
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: AZ Alkmaar U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 have won more games recently than Villarreal U19.
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Villarreal U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar U19 Villarreal U19
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 21 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.25 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2022 UEFA Youth League
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Villarreal U19
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Meerdink M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Villarreal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pascual J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar U19 74 / 100
Villarreal U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar U19 Villarreal U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar U19 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Villarreal U19 has conceded goals in 78% of their last 18 outings.

Recent resilience: AZ Alkmaar U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar U19 VS Villarreal U19
2.25 Goals Scored 1.67
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 67%
100% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Manchester United U19-
TBD-
Empoli U193
Dortmund U195
Real Madrid U19-
TBD-
Hajduk Split U190
Atl. Madrid U191
PSG U19-
TBD-
Rangers U190
Sevilla U191
Zilina U193
Inter U191
Salzburg U19-
TBD-
AZ Alkmaar U194
Villarreal U193
Juventus U19-
TBD-
Liverpool U19-
TBD-
Genk U195
Chelsea U191
Dep. A Coruna U192
Dynamo Kyiv U193
Sporting CP U19-
TBD-
Midtjylland U193
Club Brugge U192
Benfica U19-
TBD-
1/8-finals
Manchester United U192
Dortmund U193
Real Madrid U192
Atl. Madrid U193
PSG U192
Sevilla U190
Zilina U191
Salzburg U192
AZ Alkmaar U190
Juventus U191
Liverpool U192
Genk U191
Dynamo Kyiv U191
Sporting CP U192
Midtjylland U192
Benfica U193
Quarter-finals
Dortmund U190
Atl. Madrid U191
PSG U191
Salzburg U193
Juventus U192
Liverpool U190
Sporting CP U190
Benfica U194
Semi-finals
Atl. Madrid U190
Salzburg U195
Juventus U192
Benfica U193
Final
Salzburg U190
Benfica U196