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AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Villarreal U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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UEFA Youth League 2021/2022 AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
AZ Alkmaar U19 Logo

AZ Alkmaar U19

Tue, Feb 8, 2022
4 - 3
01:30 PM
Villarreal U19 Logo

Villarreal U19

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Guerrero D.
9' Event
Jimenez A.
Assist: Geralnik T.
14' Event
van Brederode M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2021/2022 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AZ Alkmaar U19
15%
Draws
54%
Villarreal U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villarreal U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 have won more games recently than Villarreal U19.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AZ Alkmaar U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Villarreal U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar U19 Villarreal U19
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.47 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2022 UEFA Youth League
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Villarreal U19
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Meerdink M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Villarreal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pascual J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar U19 36 / 100
Villarreal U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar U19 Villarreal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AZ Alkmaar U19 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Villarreal U19 let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

AZ Alkmaar U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar U19 VS Villarreal U19
3 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
1 : 0
Zwolle U19
05 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 0
PSV U19
29 Aug
De Graafschap U19
0 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
Page 1 of 6

Villarreal U19

(Away)
08 Sept
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Villarreal U19
17 Mar
Villarreal U19
0 : 1
PSG U19
25 Feb
Villarreal U19
2 : 1
Legia U19
04 Feb
Villarreal U19
3 : 2
Leverkusen U19
10 Dec
Villarreal U19
2 : 0
FC Copenhagen U19
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Manchester United U19 -
TBD -
Empoli U19 3
Dortmund U19 5
Real Madrid U19 -
TBD -
Hajduk Split U19 0
Atl. Madrid U19 1
PSG U19 -
TBD -
Rangers U19 0
Sevilla U19 1
Zilina U19 3
Inter U19 1
Salzburg U19 -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar U19 4
Villarreal U19 3
Juventus U19 -
TBD -
Liverpool U19 -
TBD -
Genk U19 5
Chelsea U19 1
Dep. A Coruna U19 2
Dynamo Kyiv U19 3
Sporting CP U19 -
TBD -
Midtjylland U19 3
Club Brugge U19 2
Benfica U19 -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Manchester United U19 2
Dortmund U19 3
Real Madrid U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 3
PSG U19 2
Sevilla U19 0
Zilina U19 1
Salzburg U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 0
Juventus U19 1
Liverpool U19 2
Genk U19 1
Dynamo Kyiv U19 1
Sporting CP U19 2
Midtjylland U19 2
Benfica U19 3
Quarter-finals
Dortmund U19 0
Atl. Madrid U19 1
PSG U19 1
Salzburg U19 3
Juventus U19 2
Liverpool U19 0
Sporting CP U19 0
Benfica U19 4
Semi-finals
Atl. Madrid U19 0
Salzburg U19 5
Juventus U19 2
Benfica U19 3
Final
Salzburg U19 0
Benfica U19 6