Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AZ Alkmaar vs Anderlecht

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AZ Alkmaar and Anderlecht finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anderlecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AZ Alkmaar
15%
Draws
38%
Anderlecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AZ Alkmaar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 16%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar Anderlecht
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.18 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Anderlecht
0:1
Apr 20, 2023 Conference League
AZ Alkmaar vs Anderlecht
3:0
Apr 13, 2023 Conference League
Anderlecht vs AZ Alkmaar
2:0
Jul 10, 2021 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Anderlecht
1:1
Feb 23, 2012 Europa League
Anderlecht vs AZ Alkmaar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 84 / 100
Anderlecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar Anderlecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Solid form: AZ Alkmaar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AZ Alkmaar's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar VS Anderlecht
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
15 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 4
AZ Alkmaar
08 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0
Den Haag
02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4
AZ Alkmaar
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
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Anderlecht

(Away)
20 Aug
Kairat Almaty
0 : 3
Anderlecht
16 Aug
SK Beveren
1 : 0
Anderlecht
13 Aug
Anderlecht
3 : 2
PAOK
09 Aug
Anderlecht
2 : 1
RAAL La Louviere
06 Aug
PAOK
0 : 1
Anderlecht
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